Official meteorological observations from Moscow stations, including VDNKh, recorded a daytime maximum of 13°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and surface pressure near 1023 hPa, aligning precisely with Hydrometeorological Center forecasts issued that morning. This outcome matches the long-term October 4 average high of roughly 12°C while falling well below historical extremes near 22°C. Real-time hourly data showing a brief peak at or just above this threshold, combined with no significant model divergence in post-event analyses, drove the market's near-certain consensus on 13°C. Minor revisions in final official reporting or station-specific discrepancies could still alter resolution, though such adjustments remain unlikely given consistent sensor readings.
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