Recent model runs from major ensembles show Qingdao under a transitional subtropical ridge with light southerly flow off the Yellow Sea, favoring afternoon highs near 28–32 °C on June 22. Sea-breeze advection and modest cloud cover are key variables that can suppress or enhance boundary-layer warming by 2–3 °C, keeping the 28 °C, 30 °C, 31 °C, and 32 °C contracts tightly bunched. Updated GFS and ECMWF guidance through June 20 indicate limited moisture and weak subsidence, supporting the current distribution while underscoring sensitivity to small shifts in wind direction or timing of any onshore surge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 22?
30°C 23%
28°C 20%
29°C 20%
31°C 15%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
20%
29°C
20%
30°C
23%
31°C
15%
32°C
12%
33°C or higher
3%
30°C 23%
28°C 20%
29°C 20%
31°C 15%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
20%
29°C
20%
30°C
23%
31°C
15%
32°C
12%
33°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 20, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model runs from major ensembles show Qingdao under a transitional subtropical ridge with light southerly flow off the Yellow Sea, favoring afternoon highs near 28–32 °C on June 22. Sea-breeze advection and modest cloud cover are key variables that can suppress or enhance boundary-layer warming by 2–3 °C, keeping the 28 °C, 30 °C, 31 °C, and 32 °C contracts tightly bunched. Updated GFS and ECMWF guidance through June 20 indicate limited moisture and weak subsidence, supporting the current distribution while underscoring sensitivity to small shifts in wind direction or timing of any onshore surge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問