Recent Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance and model consensus project above-normal June temperatures driven by ongoing climate warming trends and a neutral-to-weak ENSO backdrop, with limited frontal activity to suppress maxima. For June 19 specifically, short-range forecasts indicate moderate rain and high humidity under the southwest monsoon, which typically caps daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while still allowing peaks near the 30–31°C range consistent with climatology. These conditions explain the tight clustering around 30°C and 31°C outcomes, as modest shifts in rainfall timing, wind speed, or insolation could differentiate the exact maximum recorded at official stations. Traders are weighting the balance of persistent warmth against potential convective suppression in the two-day window ahead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 19?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 19?
31°C 37%
30°C 29%
32°C 18%
29°C 16%
新規
$13,848 Vol.
新規
$13,848 Vol.
2026/06/19
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
16%
30°C
29%
31°C
37%
32°C
18%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 37%
30°C 29%
32°C 18%
29°C 16%
新規
$13,848 Vol.
新規
$13,848 Vol.
2026/06/19
25°C or below
$485 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$922 Vol.
1%
28°C
$966 Vol.
3%
29°C
$1,411 Vol.
16%
30°C
$3,525 Vol.
29%
31°C
$2,677 Vol.
37%
32°C
$1,278 Vol.
18%
33°C
$1,013 Vol.
3%
34°C
$503 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$882 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance and model consensus project above-normal June temperatures driven by ongoing climate warming trends and a neutral-to-weak ENSO backdrop, with limited frontal activity to suppress maxima. For June 19 specifically, short-range forecasts indicate moderate rain and high humidity under the southwest monsoon, which typically caps daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while still allowing peaks near the 30–31°C range consistent with climatology. These conditions explain the tight clustering around 30°C and 31°C outcomes, as modest shifts in rainfall timing, wind speed, or insolation could differentiate the exact maximum recorded at official stations. Traders are weighting the balance of persistent warmth against potential convective suppression in the two-day window ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Jun 17, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
音量
$13,848終了日
2026/06/19マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 12:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance and model consensus project above-normal June temperatures driven by ongoing climate warming trends and a neutral-to-weak ENSO backdrop, with limited frontal activity to suppress maxima. For June 19 specifically, short-range forecasts indicate moderate rain and high humidity under the southwest monsoon, which typically caps daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while still allowing peaks near the 30–31°C range consistent with climatology. These conditions explain the tight clustering around 30°C and 31°C outcomes, as modest shifts in rainfall timing, wind speed, or insolation could differentiate the exact maximum recorded at official stations. Traders are weighting the balance of persistent warmth against potential convective suppression in the two-day window ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$13,848終了日
2026/06/19マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 12:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance and model consensus project above-normal June temperatures driven by ongoing climate warming trends and a neutral-to-weak ENSO backdrop, with limited frontal activity to suppress maxima. For June 19 specifically, short-range forecasts indicate moderate rain and high humidity under the southwest monsoon, which typically caps daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while still allowing peaks near the 30–31°C range consistent with climatology. These conditions explain the tight clustering around 30°C and 31°C outcomes, as modest shifts in rainfall timing, wind speed, or insolation could differentiate the exact maximum recorded at official stations. Traders are weighting the balance of persistent warmth against potential convective suppression in the two-day window ahead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問