Recent high-pressure systems settling over western Europe have driven a warming trend across northern France, with Météo-France and ensemble models showing Paris maximum temperatures climbing toward 28–32°C by mid-June amid mostly clear skies and light winds. For June 17 specifically, forecast spreads among global models center on 30–34°C, reflecting modest uncertainty in exact ridge strength, boundary-layer mixing, and any subtle Atlantic moisture return that could cap daytime heating. Traders therefore cluster around 32–33°C as the mode, consistent with climatological late-spring warming rates and recent observational shifts away from the cooler, unsettled pattern seen earlier in the month. Updated model runs and official guidance through June 16 will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Paris on June 17?
32°C 31%
33°C 28%
31°C 20%
34°C 12%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
20%
32°C
31%
33°C
28%
34°C
12%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 31%
33°C 28%
31°C 20%
34°C 12%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
20%
32°C
31%
33°C
28%
34°C
12%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent high-pressure systems settling over western Europe have driven a warming trend across northern France, with Météo-France and ensemble models showing Paris maximum temperatures climbing toward 28–32°C by mid-June amid mostly clear skies and light winds. For June 17 specifically, forecast spreads among global models center on 30–34°C, reflecting modest uncertainty in exact ridge strength, boundary-layer mixing, and any subtle Atlantic moisture return that could cap daytime heating. Traders therefore cluster around 32–33°C as the mode, consistent with climatological late-spring warming rates and recent observational shifts away from the cooler, unsettled pattern seen earlier in the month. Updated model runs and official guidance through June 16 will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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