Hong Kong's June climatology features typical overnight minima of 26–27°C amid high humidity and limited radiative cooling under the summer monsoon regime. Short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate persistent cloud cover and showers through June 17, which suppress daytime heating while modestly limiting nighttime temperature drops, keeping the lowest reading near the 25–26°C threshold. Above-normal seasonal temperatures noted in the May HKO outlook reinforce this range, though variable rainfall intensity and local wind patterns could nudge the minimum by 1°C either way. With 25°C and 26°C outcomes nearly tied in market-implied odds, traders are weighing these subtle differences in forecast moisture and boundary-layer mixing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月17日の香港の最低気温は?
26°C 39%
25°C 39%
24°C 5%
27℃ 5%
21℃以下
<1%
22℃
1%
23℃
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27℃
5%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30℃
1%
31℃以上
<1%
26°C 39%
25°C 39%
24°C 5%
27℃ 5%
21℃以下
<1%
22℃
1%
23℃
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27℃
5%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30℃
1%
31℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's June climatology features typical overnight minima of 26–27°C amid high humidity and limited radiative cooling under the summer monsoon regime. Short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate persistent cloud cover and showers through June 17, which suppress daytime heating while modestly limiting nighttime temperature drops, keeping the lowest reading near the 25–26°C threshold. Above-normal seasonal temperatures noted in the May HKO outlook reinforce this range, though variable rainfall intensity and local wind patterns could nudge the minimum by 1°C either way. With 25°C and 26°C outcomes nearly tied in market-implied odds, traders are weighing these subtle differences in forecast moisture and boundary-layer mixing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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