Traders see 25°C and 26°C as nearly tied outcomes for Shanghai’s June 15 maximum because short-range models show only marginal differences in expected cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and light easterly flow off the East China Sea. Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate produces high humidity that limits daytime heating, while the urban heat island can add roughly 1 °C locally depending on wind speed. Current consensus from regional forecast centers indicates stable conditions without strong frontal passages or significant precipitation, keeping probabilities tightly clustered. Any last adjustment in insolation or low-level moisture advection could shift the official reading between the two leading bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
26°C 36%
25°C 35%
27°C 14%
24°C 12%
新規
$12,782 Vol.
新規
$12,782 Vol.
2026/06/15
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
5%
24°C
12%
25°C
35%
26°C
36%
27°C
14%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 36%
25°C 35%
27°C 14%
24°C 12%
新規
$12,782 Vol.
新規
$12,782 Vol.
2026/06/15
21°C or below
$552 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,244 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,322 Vol.
5%
24°C
$1,977 Vol.
12%
25°C
$491 Vol.
35%
26°C
$839 Vol.
36%
27°C
$1,176 Vol.
14%
28°C
$1,920 Vol.
2%
29°C
$1,698 Vol.
1%
30°C
$908 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$657 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 25°C and 26°C as nearly tied outcomes for Shanghai’s June 15 maximum because short-range models show only marginal differences in expected cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and light easterly flow off the East China Sea. Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate produces high humidity that limits daytime heating, while the urban heat island can add roughly 1 °C locally depending on wind speed. Current consensus from regional forecast centers indicates stable conditions without strong frontal passages or significant precipitation, keeping probabilities tightly clustered. Any last adjustment in insolation or low-level moisture advection could shift the official reading between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
音量
$12,782終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 25°C and 26°C as nearly tied outcomes for Shanghai’s June 15 maximum because short-range models show only marginal differences in expected cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and light easterly flow off the East China Sea. Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate produces high humidity that limits daytime heating, while the urban heat island can add roughly 1 °C locally depending on wind speed. Current consensus from regional forecast centers indicates stable conditions without strong frontal passages or significant precipitation, keeping probabilities tightly clustered. Any last adjustment in insolation or low-level moisture advection could shift the official reading between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$12,782終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETTraders see 25°C and 26°C as nearly tied outcomes for Shanghai’s June 15 maximum because short-range models show only marginal differences in expected cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and light easterly flow off the East China Sea. Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate produces high humidity that limits daytime heating, while the urban heat island can add roughly 1 °C locally depending on wind speed. Current consensus from regional forecast centers indicates stable conditions without strong frontal passages or significant precipitation, keeping probabilities tightly clustered. Any last adjustment in insolation or low-level moisture advection could shift the official reading between the two leading bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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