Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a daily maximum of 26°C in Tokyo on June 14, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that exact outcome. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable high pressure and limited moisture, support this peak under typical early-summer patterns, consistent with historical June averages around 25–27°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant frontal systems or urban heat island amplification expected to push readings higher or lower. A late-afternoon sea breeze or unforecast convective cooling could still alter the final verified high by 1°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given the tight consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 14?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 14?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$87,396 Vol.
$87,396 Vol.
2026/06/14
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$87,396 Vol.
$87,396 Vol.
2026/06/14
21°C or below
$431 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$421 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,873 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$6,546 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$11,622 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$21,817 Vol.
100%
27°C
$9,915 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$12,036 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$7,193 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$9,296 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$3,271 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a daily maximum of 26°C in Tokyo on June 14, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that exact outcome. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable high pressure and limited moisture, support this peak under typical early-summer patterns, consistent with historical June averages around 25–27°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant frontal systems or urban heat island amplification expected to push readings higher or lower. A late-afternoon sea breeze or unforecast convective cooling could still alter the final verified high by 1°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given the tight consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$87,396終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a daily maximum of 26°C in Tokyo on June 14, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that exact outcome. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable high pressure and limited moisture, support this peak under typical early-summer patterns, consistent with historical June averages around 25–27°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant frontal systems or urban heat island amplification expected to push readings higher or lower. A late-afternoon sea breeze or unforecast convective cooling could still alter the final verified high by 1°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given the tight consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$87,396終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a daily maximum of 26°C in Tokyo on June 14, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that exact outcome. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable high pressure and limited moisture, support this peak under typical early-summer patterns, consistent with historical June averages around 25–27°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant frontal systems or urban heat island amplification expected to push readings higher or lower. A late-afternoon sea breeze or unforecast convective cooling could still alter the final verified high by 1°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given the tight consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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