Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime high of 26°C in Seoul on June 14, 2026, supported by stable atmospheric conditions, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover that have kept temperatures from exceeding model consensus. Recent short-range guidance shows consistency across ensemble runs, aligning with typical early-summer climatology for the region where highs average near 25–28°C before the monsoon intensifies. Traders assign 99.7% implied probability to exactly 26°C because real-time observations and updated model outputs show no credible path to 28°C or higher within the resolution window. An anomalous late-day surge or revised station reading could theoretically shift the outcome, though current data render such scenarios highly improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月14日のソウルの最高気温は?
26°C 99.6%
28°C <1%
29°C以上 <1%
19°C以下 <1%
$227,947 Vol.
$227,947 Vol.
19°C以下
<1%
20℃
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25℃
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C以上
<1%
26°C 99.6%
28°C <1%
29°C以上 <1%
19°C以下 <1%
$227,947 Vol.
$227,947 Vol.
19°C以下
<1%
20℃
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25℃
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime high of 26°C in Seoul on June 14, 2026, supported by stable atmospheric conditions, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover that have kept temperatures from exceeding model consensus. Recent short-range guidance shows consistency across ensemble runs, aligning with typical early-summer climatology for the region where highs average near 25–28°C before the monsoon intensifies. Traders assign 99.7% implied probability to exactly 26°C because real-time observations and updated model outputs show no credible path to 28°C or higher within the resolution window. An anomalous late-day surge or revised station reading could theoretically shift the outcome, though current data render such scenarios highly improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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