Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, converge on a daytime maximum of 29°C for Wuhan on June 14 under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light southerly flow that limits both advection of warmer air and convective cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs reach approximately 29–30°C amid rising solar insolation and typical humidity levels. The 99.3% market-implied probability for 29°C reflects trader consensus on these model outputs and current observational trends. A sudden increase in cloud cover, unexpected rainfall, or stronger cold-air advection could still suppress the peak below this level, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 14?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 14?
29°C 93.8%
30°C 6.1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$55,570 Vol.
$55,570 Vol.
2026/06/14
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
94%
30°C
6%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
29°C 93.8%
30°C 6.1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$55,570 Vol.
$55,570 Vol.
2026/06/14
27°C or below
$6,577 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$12,188 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$8,183 Vol.
94%
30°C
$5,891 Vol.
6%
31°C
$5,476 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$4,513 Vol.
1%
33°C
$6,481 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$2,917 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,085 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$2,399 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,564 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, converge on a daytime maximum of 29°C for Wuhan on June 14 under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light southerly flow that limits both advection of warmer air and convective cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs reach approximately 29–30°C amid rising solar insolation and typical humidity levels. The 99.3% market-implied probability for 29°C reflects trader consensus on these model outputs and current observational trends. A sudden increase in cloud cover, unexpected rainfall, or stronger cold-air advection could still suppress the peak below this level, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
音量
$55,570終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, converge on a daytime maximum of 29°C for Wuhan on June 14 under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light southerly flow that limits both advection of warmer air and convective cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs reach approximately 29–30°C amid rising solar insolation and typical humidity levels. The 99.3% market-implied probability for 29°C reflects trader consensus on these model outputs and current observational trends. A sudden increase in cloud cover, unexpected rainfall, or stronger cold-air advection could still suppress the peak below this level, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$55,570終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, converge on a daytime maximum of 29°C for Wuhan on June 14 under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light southerly flow that limits both advection of warmer air and convective cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs reach approximately 29–30°C amid rising solar insolation and typical humidity levels. The 99.3% market-implied probability for 29°C reflects trader consensus on these model outputs and current observational trends. A sudden increase in cloud cover, unexpected rainfall, or stronger cold-air advection could still suppress the peak below this level, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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