Recent KMA and international model guidance for mid-June shows Seoul under transitional early-summer conditions, with daytime maxima most likely reaching the upper 20s Celsius as a strengthening subtropical ridge competes with increasing monsoon moisture and scattered cloud cover. Ensemble spreads center on 28–29 °C for June 16, reflecting modest differences in predicted timing of any light showers and boundary-layer mixing; clearer, drier air would push readings toward 30 °C while thicker cloud or earlier rain would cap them near 27 °C. Historical climatology places average June highs near 26 °C, so current warmth represents a positive anomaly that traders are weighting against the narrow forecast uncertainty range. Updated short-range runs and afternoon observations on June 15 will further refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seoul on June 16?
28°C 34%
29°C 29%
27°C 18%
30°C 14%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
18%
28°C
34%
29°C
29%
30°C
14%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 34%
29°C 29%
27°C 18%
30°C 14%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
18%
28°C
34%
29°C
29%
30°C
14%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 14, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent KMA and international model guidance for mid-June shows Seoul under transitional early-summer conditions, with daytime maxima most likely reaching the upper 20s Celsius as a strengthening subtropical ridge competes with increasing monsoon moisture and scattered cloud cover. Ensemble spreads center on 28–29 °C for June 16, reflecting modest differences in predicted timing of any light showers and boundary-layer mixing; clearer, drier air would push readings toward 30 °C while thicker cloud or earlier rain would cap them near 27 °C. Historical climatology places average June highs near 26 °C, so current warmth represents a positive anomaly that traders are weighting against the narrow forecast uncertainty range. Updated short-range runs and afternoon observations on June 15 will further refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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