Recent forecast models from agencies like Environment and Climate Change Canada and The Weather Network indicate a daytime high near 24°C for Toronto on June 14, driven by a post-frontal cooling trend after 25–26°C readings on June 12–13, combined with increased cloud cover, showers, and Lake Ontario's stabilizing lake-breeze effects that limit boundary-layer warming. This aligns with typical early-June climatology (historical averages of 22–24°C) and supports the market's overwhelming 97.5% implied probability on 24°C. Outlier scenarios that could shift resolution include rapid clearing and stronger insolation pushing temperatures higher, or persistent marine air keeping readings below 23°C. Updated model runs later today will provide the final verification data for this time-sensitive market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月14日のトロントの最高気温は?
24°C 97.5%
25°C 2.1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$61,054 Vol.
$61,054 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
98%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 97.5%
25°C 2.1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$61,054 Vol.
$61,054 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
98%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from agencies like Environment and Climate Change Canada and The Weather Network indicate a daytime high near 24°C for Toronto on June 14, driven by a post-frontal cooling trend after 25–26°C readings on June 12–13, combined with increased cloud cover, showers, and Lake Ontario's stabilizing lake-breeze effects that limit boundary-layer warming. This aligns with typical early-June climatology (historical averages of 22–24°C) and supports the market's overwhelming 97.5% implied probability on 24°C. Outlier scenarios that could shift resolution include rapid clearing and stronger insolation pushing temperatures higher, or persistent marine air keeping readings below 23°C. Updated model runs later today will provide the final verification data for this time-sensitive market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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