Trader consensus strongly favors a 32°C high in Kuala Lumpur on June 14 because official forecasts from regional models and the long-term June climatology center precisely on that value, with typical daytime maxima near 32°C under prevailing trade-wind and insolation conditions. Early-day observations showing temperatures climbing through the upper 20s into the low 30s have reinforced this positioning, while modest boundary-layer moisture and limited convective inhibition keep the range narrow. The dominant 99.8% implied probability reflects real-money aggregation of these stable signals rather than a guarantee; a sudden increase in cloud cover or heavy afternoon thunderstorms could still cap the maximum below 32°C, though such shifts remain low-probability given current guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on June 14?
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
35°C or higher <1%
25°C or below <1%
$41,557 Vol.
$41,557 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
35°C or higher <1%
25°C or below <1%
$41,557 Vol.
$41,557 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus strongly favors a 32°C high in Kuala Lumpur on June 14 because official forecasts from regional models and the long-term June climatology center precisely on that value, with typical daytime maxima near 32°C under prevailing trade-wind and insolation conditions. Early-day observations showing temperatures climbing through the upper 20s into the low 30s have reinforced this positioning, while modest boundary-layer moisture and limited convective inhibition keep the range narrow. The dominant 99.8% implied probability reflects real-money aggregation of these stable signals rather than a guarantee; a sudden increase in cloud cover or heavy afternoon thunderstorms could still cap the maximum below 32°C, though such shifts remain low-probability given current guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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