Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's maximum temperature on June 14 will reach 22°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate easterly winds typical of the East Asian monsoon transition. These conditions limit daytime heating, aligning with observed surface temperatures and ensemble guidance from regional agencies that favor a narrow range near this threshold over higher values. Historical mid-June climatology shows greater variability from 24–28°C, yet recent atmospheric patterns have suppressed peaks, underpinning the market's 91% implied probability for 22°C. A shift toward clearer skies or delayed precipitation could allow readings to approach 23–24°C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月14日の上海の最高気温は?
22°C 89.9%
23°C 9%
25℃ <1%
24°C <1%
$155,300 Vol.
$155,300 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
90%
23°C
9%
24°C
<1%
25℃
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃以上
<1%
22°C 89.9%
23°C 9%
25℃ <1%
24°C <1%
$155,300 Vol.
$155,300 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
90%
23°C
9%
24°C
<1%
25℃
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's maximum temperature on June 14 will reach 22°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate easterly winds typical of the East Asian monsoon transition. These conditions limit daytime heating, aligning with observed surface temperatures and ensemble guidance from regional agencies that favor a narrow range near this threshold over higher values. Historical mid-June climatology shows greater variability from 24–28°C, yet recent atmospheric patterns have suppressed peaks, underpinning the market's 91% implied probability for 22°C. A shift toward clearer skies or delayed precipitation could allow readings to approach 23–24°C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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