Traders assign nearly equal weight to 15°C and 16°C because ensemble forecasts from major models show Warsaw’s daily maximum hovering right at the boundary between these values under a stable high-pressure ridge with limited insolation. Subtle variations in low-level moisture, cloud timing, and boundary-layer mixing create the tight spread, while a northerly component in the flow keeps surface heating modest for mid-June. Historical climatology places typical highs several degrees higher, highlighting how the current synoptic setup suppresses peak temperatures. Fresh observational data and the next model cycle will likely narrow the resolution window before the market settles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月14日のワルシャワの最高気温は?
15°C 49%
16°C 42%
17°C 12%
18°C 1.4%
$33,416 Vol.
$33,416 Vol.
10°C以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13℃
<1%
14℃
<1%
15°C
49%
16°C
42%
17°C
12%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C以上
<1%
15°C 49%
16°C 42%
17°C 12%
18°C 1.4%
$33,416 Vol.
$33,416 Vol.
10°C以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13℃
<1%
14℃
<1%
15°C
49%
16°C
42%
17°C
12%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders assign nearly equal weight to 15°C and 16°C because ensemble forecasts from major models show Warsaw’s daily maximum hovering right at the boundary between these values under a stable high-pressure ridge with limited insolation. Subtle variations in low-level moisture, cloud timing, and boundary-layer mixing create the tight spread, while a northerly component in the flow keeps surface heating modest for mid-June. Historical climatology places typical highs several degrees higher, highlighting how the current synoptic setup suppresses peak temperatures. Fresh observational data and the next model cycle will likely narrow the resolution window before the market settles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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