Recent short-range model guidance from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and BBC points to a daytime maximum near 17–18 °C in Helsinki on 16 June, with light south-westerly flow, possible drizzle, and increasing cloud cover limiting solar heating. These conditions explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 18 °C and 19 °C: modest differences in the timing or extent of cloud breaks versus showers can shift the daily peak by 1 °C. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, yet small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and insolation still separate the leading outcomes while rendering 20 °C or higher less likely. Traders are therefore weighting the latest model runs and observational trends that will refine the forecast through 15 June.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Helsinki on June 16?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on June 16?
19°C 29%
18°C 26%
20°C 20%
17°C 11.2%
新規
新規
2026/06/16
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
11%
18°C
26%
19°C
29%
20°C
20%
21°C or higher
11%
19°C 29%
18°C 26%
20°C 20%
17°C 11.2%
新規
新規
2026/06/16
11°C or below
$100 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$101 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$30 Vol.
1%
16°C
$131 Vol.
1%
17°C
$38 Vol.
11%
18°C
$207 Vol.
26%
19°C
$155 Vol.
29%
20°C
$100 Vol.
20%
21°C or higher
$1,032 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and BBC points to a daytime maximum near 17–18 °C in Helsinki on 16 June, with light south-westerly flow, possible drizzle, and increasing cloud cover limiting solar heating. These conditions explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 18 °C and 19 °C: modest differences in the timing or extent of cloud breaks versus showers can shift the daily peak by 1 °C. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, yet small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and insolation still separate the leading outcomes while rendering 20 °C or higher less likely. Traders are therefore weighting the latest model runs and observational trends that will refine the forecast through 15 June.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$1,878終了日
2026/06/16マーケット開始日
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and BBC points to a daytime maximum near 17–18 °C in Helsinki on 16 June, with light south-westerly flow, possible drizzle, and increasing cloud cover limiting solar heating. These conditions explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 18 °C and 19 °C: modest differences in the timing or extent of cloud breaks versus showers can shift the daily peak by 1 °C. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, yet small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and insolation still separate the leading outcomes while rendering 20 °C or higher less likely. Traders are therefore weighting the latest model runs and observational trends that will refine the forecast through 15 June.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,878終了日
2026/06/16マーケット開始日
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent short-range model guidance from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and BBC points to a daytime maximum near 17–18 °C in Helsinki on 16 June, with light south-westerly flow, possible drizzle, and increasing cloud cover limiting solar heating. These conditions explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 18 °C and 19 °C: modest differences in the timing or extent of cloud breaks versus showers can shift the daily peak by 1 °C. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, yet small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and insolation still separate the leading outcomes while rendering 20 °C or higher less likely. Traders are therefore weighting the latest model runs and observational trends that will refine the forecast through 15 June.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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