**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a daytime high of 18–20 °C for Moscow on 14 June 2026, with 19 °C holding a slim plurality at 50.5 %.** This positioning reflects current forecast guidance from multiple models showing a modest high near 19–20 °C (roughly 66–68 °F) under mostly cloudy skies with passing showers. Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation are suppressing daytime heating compared with clearer climatological norms for mid-June, when Moscow’s average maximum typically reaches 20–22 °C. Early-morning observations around 14 °C and steady northwest winds further limit afternoon warming, keeping surface temperatures from climbing into the low 20s. Model consensus remains tight around this range, with only modest spread; any late-day clearing could push readings toward 20 °C, while continued rain would favor 18 °C. Historical analogs and seasonal baselines support the market’s narrow distribution, as extremes (below 17 °C or above 21 °C) are uncommon without strong synoptic shifts. Updated model runs and real-time station data through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Moscow on June 14?
19°C 51%
18°C 27.4%
20°C 23%
21°C 3.0%
$53,779 Vol.
$53,779 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
27%
19°C
51%
20°C
23%
21°C
3%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
19°C 51%
18°C 27.4%
20°C 23%
21°C 3.0%
$53,779 Vol.
$53,779 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
27%
19°C
51%
20°C
23%
21°C
3%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a daytime high of 18–20 °C for Moscow on 14 June 2026, with 19 °C holding a slim plurality at 50.5 %.** This positioning reflects current forecast guidance from multiple models showing a modest high near 19–20 °C (roughly 66–68 °F) under mostly cloudy skies with passing showers. Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation are suppressing daytime heating compared with clearer climatological norms for mid-June, when Moscow’s average maximum typically reaches 20–22 °C. Early-morning observations around 14 °C and steady northwest winds further limit afternoon warming, keeping surface temperatures from climbing into the low 20s. Model consensus remains tight around this range, with only modest spread; any late-day clearing could push readings toward 20 °C, while continued rain would favor 18 °C. Historical analogs and seasonal baselines support the market’s narrow distribution, as extremes (below 17 °C or above 21 °C) are uncommon without strong synoptic shifts. Updated model runs and real-time station data through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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