Forecast models from agencies like Roshydromet indicate Moscow's June 15 maximum will likely reach 21–22°C amid typical early-summer conditions, with the tight market spread between these outcomes reflecting uncertainty in daytime cloud cover and any passing showers. Weak high pressure and modest southerly flow support gradual warming above seasonal normals near 20°C, yet variable stratiform clouds or brief convective activity could limit peak solar heating by 1–2°C. Historical analogs show June maxima frequently cluster in this narrow band when frontal boundaries linger nearby, and the next 12–24 hour model runs plus updated observations will clarify whether clearer skies push readings toward 22°C or scattered rain caps them at 21°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
22°C 30%
21°C 29%
20°C 18%
23°C 17%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
18%
21°C
29%
22°C
30%
23°C
17%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 30%
21°C 29%
20°C 18%
23°C 17%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
18%
21°C
29%
22°C
30%
23°C
17%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like Roshydromet indicate Moscow's June 15 maximum will likely reach 21–22°C amid typical early-summer conditions, with the tight market spread between these outcomes reflecting uncertainty in daytime cloud cover and any passing showers. Weak high pressure and modest southerly flow support gradual warming above seasonal normals near 20°C, yet variable stratiform clouds or brief convective activity could limit peak solar heating by 1–2°C. Historical analogs show June maxima frequently cluster in this narrow band when frontal boundaries linger nearby, and the next 12–24 hour model runs plus updated observations will clarify whether clearer skies push readings toward 22°C or scattered rain caps them at 21°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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