Latest European model ensembles, including ECMWF runs, show a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and above-normal 850 hPa temperatures over Paris, driving market-implied odds toward 29–30°C as the most probable peak on June 16. Subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud cover, and surface wind speeds create the narrow spread between these outcomes, while historical June averages near 24°C underscore the current warmth anomaly. New model updates and Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Paris on June 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 16?
30°C 36%
29°C 32%
28°C 15%
31°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/06/16
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
15%
29°C
32%
30°C
36%
31°C
13%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 36%
29°C 32%
28°C 15%
31°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/06/16
25°C or below
$17 Vol.
1%
26°C
$23 Vol.
2%
27°C
$258 Vol.
4%
28°C
$95 Vol.
15%
29°C
$283 Vol.
32%
30°C
$150 Vol.
36%
31°C
$379 Vol.
13%
32°C
$102 Vol.
4%
33°C
$271 Vol.
1%
34°C
$64 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$57 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest European model ensembles, including ECMWF runs, show a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and above-normal 850 hPa temperatures over Paris, driving market-implied odds toward 29–30°C as the most probable peak on June 16. Subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud cover, and surface wind speeds create the narrow spread between these outcomes, while historical June averages near 24°C underscore the current warmth anomaly. New model updates and Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
音量
$1,431終了日
2026/06/16マーケット開始日
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest European model ensembles, including ECMWF runs, show a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and above-normal 850 hPa temperatures over Paris, driving market-implied odds toward 29–30°C as the most probable peak on June 16. Subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud cover, and surface wind speeds create the narrow spread between these outcomes, while historical June averages near 24°C underscore the current warmth anomaly. New model updates and Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,431終了日
2026/06/16マーケット開始日
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETLatest European model ensembles, including ECMWF runs, show a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and above-normal 850 hPa temperatures over Paris, driving market-implied odds toward 29–30°C as the most probable peak on June 16. Subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud cover, and surface wind speeds create the narrow spread between these outcomes, while historical June averages near 24°C underscore the current warmth anomaly. New model updates and Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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