Recent high-pressure dominance across western Europe has sustained above-average warmth into mid-June, with the latest ensemble model runs from Météo-France and ECMWF converging on a June 15 maximum near 27–28 °C under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow. This places those outcomes at the center of trader consensus, reflecting modest uncertainty from small timing differences in any residual moisture or diurnal heating rates rather than larger synoptic shifts. Historical June highs average 22–24 °C, so the current pattern represents a notable but not extreme anomaly; final resolution hinges on the 00Z and 12Z model updates tomorrow morning, which will refine the exact peak before official observations are recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Paris on June 15?
27°C 39%
28°C 37%
26°C 15%
29°C 9%
$12,692 Vol.
$12,692 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
15%
27°C
39%
28°C
37%
29°C
9%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 39%
28°C 37%
26°C 15%
29°C 9%
$12,692 Vol.
$12,692 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
15%
27°C
39%
28°C
37%
29°C
9%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent high-pressure dominance across western Europe has sustained above-average warmth into mid-June, with the latest ensemble model runs from Météo-France and ECMWF converging on a June 15 maximum near 27–28 °C under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow. This places those outcomes at the center of trader consensus, reflecting modest uncertainty from small timing differences in any residual moisture or diurnal heating rates rather than larger synoptic shifts. Historical June highs average 22–24 °C, so the current pattern represents a notable but not extreme anomaly; final resolution hinges on the 00Z and 12Z model updates tomorrow morning, which will refine the exact peak before official observations are recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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