Recent observational data from Beijing surface stations and updated model runs have converged on a daily maximum of 28°C, anchoring the market-implied probability near 100% for that exact outcome. Light easterly flow, residual cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing following overnight showers have limited daytime heating below earlier ensemble projections of 29–30°C, aligning with climatological June averages near 30°C while reflecting today's specific synoptic setup. The China Meteorological Administration's official verification will resolve the market, and traders' real-capital consensus incorporates this evidence with high confidence. Only a late-day measurement revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically shift the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月14日の北京の最高気温は？
6月14日の北京の最高気温は？
28℃ 100.0%
24℃以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26℃ <1%
$120,246 Vol.
$120,246 Vol.
2026/06/14
24℃以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
100%
29°C
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃
<1%
34℃以上
<1%
28℃ 100.0%
24℃以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26℃ <1%
$120,246 Vol.
$120,246 Vol.
2026/06/14
24℃以下
$3,164 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4,175 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$20,018 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$23,451 Vol.
<1%
28℃
$17,409 Vol.
100%
29°C
$13,970 Vol.
<1%
30℃
$15,027 Vol.
<1%
31℃
$10,394 Vol.
<1%
32℃
$6,463 Vol.
<1%
33℃
$3,371 Vol.
<1%
34℃以上
$2,842 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Beijing surface stations and updated model runs have converged on a daily maximum of 28°C, anchoring the market-implied probability near 100% for that exact outcome. Light easterly flow, residual cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing following overnight showers have limited daytime heating below earlier ensemble projections of 29–30°C, aligning with climatological June averages near 30°C while reflecting today's specific synoptic setup. The China Meteorological Administration's official verification will resolve the market, and traders' real-capital consensus incorporates this evidence with high confidence. Only a late-day measurement revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$120,246終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Beijing surface stations and updated model runs have converged on a daily maximum of 28°C, anchoring the market-implied probability near 100% for that exact outcome. Light easterly flow, residual cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing following overnight showers have limited daytime heating below earlier ensemble projections of 29–30°C, aligning with climatological June averages near 30°C while reflecting today's specific synoptic setup. The China Meteorological Administration's official verification will resolve the market, and traders' real-capital consensus incorporates this evidence with high confidence. Only a late-day measurement revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$120,246終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent observational data from Beijing surface stations and updated model runs have converged on a daily maximum of 28°C, anchoring the market-implied probability near 100% for that exact outcome. Light easterly flow, residual cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing following overnight showers have limited daytime heating below earlier ensemble projections of 29–30°C, aligning with climatological June averages near 30°C while reflecting today's specific synoptic setup. The China Meteorological Administration's official verification will resolve the market, and traders' real-capital consensus incorporates this evidence with high confidence. Only a late-day measurement revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically shift the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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