Latest Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on 16 June indicate a settled high-pressure regime with daytime maxima near 25–26°C and overnight minima around 16°C, reflecting light winds and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows slight spread in the exact low due to variable boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects, keeping 14–15°C outcomes competitive in trader consensus. Historical June climatology for central London places average overnight lows near 12–14°C, so current model consensus supports probabilities clustered around 14–16°C. Updated high-resolution runs and the next Met Office briefing will likely refine these values ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月16日のロンドンの最低気温は?
15°C 39%
14°C 33%
16℃ 18%
13℃ 5.0%
11°C以下
1%
12°C
3%
13℃
5%
14°C
33%
15°C
45%
16℃
18%
17℃
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20℃
1%
21℃以上
<1%
15°C 39%
14°C 33%
16℃ 18%
13℃ 5.0%
11°C以下
1%
12°C
3%
13℃
5%
14°C
33%
15°C
45%
16℃
18%
17℃
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20℃
1%
21℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on 16 June indicate a settled high-pressure regime with daytime maxima near 25–26°C and overnight minima around 16°C, reflecting light winds and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows slight spread in the exact low due to variable boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects, keeping 14–15°C outcomes competitive in trader consensus. Historical June climatology for central London places average overnight lows near 12–14°C, so current model consensus supports probabilities clustered around 14–16°C. Updated high-resolution runs and the next Met Office briefing will likely refine these values ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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