Recent Met Office and ECMWF model guidance points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies moderating London's minimum temperature on June 15 near the seasonal average of 12–13 °C. Following May's record warmth, a return to near-normal Atlantic airflow has suppressed daytime maxima and allowed clearer nocturnal conditions that favor modest heat loss, keeping the forecast low tightly clustered between 11–14 °C. Urban heat-island effects and light winds further narrow the range, while ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing creates the near-even market split between 12 °C and 13 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations through tonight will refine the final minimum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月15日のロンドンの最低気温は?
13°C 45%
12°C 40%
14°C 6%
11°C 5%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
5%
12°C
45%
13°C
45%
14°C
6%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 45%
12°C 40%
14°C 6%
11°C 5%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
5%
12°C
45%
13°C
45%
14°C
6%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office and ECMWF model guidance points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies moderating London's minimum temperature on June 15 near the seasonal average of 12–13 °C. Following May's record warmth, a return to near-normal Atlantic airflow has suppressed daytime maxima and allowed clearer nocturnal conditions that favor modest heat loss, keeping the forecast low tightly clustered between 11–14 °C. Urban heat-island effects and light winds further narrow the range, while ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing creates the near-even market split between 12 °C and 13 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations through tonight will refine the final minimum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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