Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance has converged on an overnight minimum near 19–20°C for Paris on June 16, driven by a warmer-than-average airmass, mostly clear skies limiting radiative cooling, and light winds that reduce turbulent mixing. These conditions produce only modest nocturnal temperature drops compared with typical June climatology (12–16°C lows at Paris-Le Bourget), while the urban heat-island effect at the official station further supports the higher end of the range. Traders see the tight 27.5 % / 19.0 % split between the 19°C and 20°C contracts as reflecting residual ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of the daily minimum, with model updates through the weekend likely to narrow the outcome before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月16日のパリの最低気温は？
6月16日のパリの最低気温は？
19℃ 19%
20°C 19%
18℃ 5%
22°C 4.5%
新規
新規
2026/06/16
16℃以下
3%
17°C
8%
18℃
5%
19℃
28%
20°C
19%
21℃
4%
22°C
5%
23℃
1%
24℃
1%
25℃
<1%
26℃以上
1%
19℃ 19%
20°C 19%
18℃ 5%
22°C 4.5%
新規
新規
2026/06/16
16℃以下
$76 Vol.
3%
17°C
$28 Vol.
8%
18℃
$18 Vol.
5%
19℃
$20 Vol.
28%
20°C
$9 Vol.
19%
21℃
$54 Vol.
4%
22°C
$21 Vol.
5%
23℃
$33 Vol.
1%
24℃
$127 Vol.
1%
25℃
$37 Vol.
<1%
26℃以上
$32 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance has converged on an overnight minimum near 19–20°C for Paris on June 16, driven by a warmer-than-average airmass, mostly clear skies limiting radiative cooling, and light winds that reduce turbulent mixing. These conditions produce only modest nocturnal temperature drops compared with typical June climatology (12–16°C lows at Paris-Le Bourget), while the urban heat-island effect at the official station further supports the higher end of the range. Traders see the tight 27.5 % / 19.0 % split between the 19°C and 20°C contracts as reflecting residual ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of the daily minimum, with model updates through the weekend likely to narrow the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$456終了日
2026/06/16マーケット開始日
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance has converged on an overnight minimum near 19–20°C for Paris on June 16, driven by a warmer-than-average airmass, mostly clear skies limiting radiative cooling, and light winds that reduce turbulent mixing. These conditions produce only modest nocturnal temperature drops compared with typical June climatology (12–16°C lows at Paris-Le Bourget), while the urban heat-island effect at the official station further supports the higher end of the range. Traders see the tight 27.5 % / 19.0 % split between the 19°C and 20°C contracts as reflecting residual ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of the daily minimum, with model updates through the weekend likely to narrow the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$456終了日
2026/06/16マーケット開始日
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance has converged on an overnight minimum near 19–20°C for Paris on June 16, driven by a warmer-than-average airmass, mostly clear skies limiting radiative cooling, and light winds that reduce turbulent mixing. These conditions produce only modest nocturnal temperature drops compared with typical June climatology (12–16°C lows at Paris-Le Bourget), while the urban heat-island effect at the official station further supports the higher end of the range. Traders see the tight 27.5 % / 19.0 % split between the 19°C and 20°C contracts as reflecting residual ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of the daily minimum, with model updates through the weekend likely to narrow the outcome before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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