Recent high-pressure dominance over western Europe, with clear skies and light northeasterly flow, has produced a mild, stable air mass for Paris, keeping overnight radiative cooling modest and driving market-implied odds toward an 11–13°C minimum at Le Bourget. Daytime highs near 30°C on June 14 have limited the depth of the nocturnal inversion, while model consensus from ECMWF and GFS shows only modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that could shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical June climatology centers overnight minima near 13°C, so the tight clustering of probabilities around 11–13°C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in exact cooling rates rather than any single dominant catalyst. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance on June 14 will provide the next clear signal before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月15日のパリの最低気温は？
6月15日のパリの最低気温は？
11°C 21%
13℃ 18%
14°C 13%
12°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/06/15
10℃以下
4%
11°C
21%
12°C
12%
13℃
18%
14°C
13%
15°C
5%
16℃
2%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19℃
<1%
20℃以上
<1%
11°C 21%
13℃ 18%
14°C 13%
12°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/06/15
10℃以下
$8 Vol.
4%
11°C
$16 Vol.
21%
12°C
$26 Vol.
12%
13℃
$45 Vol.
18%
14°C
$25 Vol.
13%
15°C
$28 Vol.
5%
16℃
$271 Vol.
2%
17°C
$556 Vol.
1%
18°C
$201 Vol.
1%
19℃
$37 Vol.
<1%
20℃以上
$32 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance over western Europe, with clear skies and light northeasterly flow, has produced a mild, stable air mass for Paris, keeping overnight radiative cooling modest and driving market-implied odds toward an 11–13°C minimum at Le Bourget. Daytime highs near 30°C on June 14 have limited the depth of the nocturnal inversion, while model consensus from ECMWF and GFS shows only modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that could shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical June climatology centers overnight minima near 13°C, so the tight clustering of probabilities around 11–13°C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in exact cooling rates rather than any single dominant catalyst. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance on June 14 will provide the next clear signal before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
音量
$1,244終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance over western Europe, with clear skies and light northeasterly flow, has produced a mild, stable air mass for Paris, keeping overnight radiative cooling modest and driving market-implied odds toward an 11–13°C minimum at Le Bourget. Daytime highs near 30°C on June 14 have limited the depth of the nocturnal inversion, while model consensus from ECMWF and GFS shows only modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that could shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical June climatology centers overnight minima near 13°C, so the tight clustering of probabilities around 11–13°C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in exact cooling rates rather than any single dominant catalyst. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance on June 14 will provide the next clear signal before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,244終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETRecent high-pressure dominance over western Europe, with clear skies and light northeasterly flow, has produced a mild, stable air mass for Paris, keeping overnight radiative cooling modest and driving market-implied odds toward an 11–13°C minimum at Le Bourget. Daytime highs near 30°C on June 14 have limited the depth of the nocturnal inversion, while model consensus from ECMWF and GFS shows only modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that could shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical June climatology centers overnight minima near 13°C, so the tight clustering of probabilities around 11–13°C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in exact cooling rates rather than any single dominant catalyst. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance on June 14 will provide the next clear signal before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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