Forecast models from Météo-France and major ensembles such as ECMWF have converged on an overnight minimum of 13°C for Paris on June 14, 2026, with clear skies, light winds, and no significant frontal passages supporting radiative cooling to that level. Official guidance places the low near dawn, consistent with climatological June minima around 12–14°C and recent model runs showing tight clustering without outlier solutions below 12°C or above 14°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty band, as the 13°C bin captures the modal outcome across authoritative sources. A late surge in cloud cover or an unforecasted northerly flow could still shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C at official stations, though such revisions appear unlikely within the remaining observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月14日のパリの最低気温は?
13℃ 99.6%
11℃ <1%
12℃ <1%
10℃ <1%
$10,472 Vol.
$10,472 Vol.
9°C以下
<1%
10℃
<1%
11℃
<1%
12℃
<1%
13℃
100%
14℃
<1%
15℃
<1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19℃以上
<1%
13℃ 99.6%
11℃ <1%
12℃ <1%
10℃ <1%
$10,472 Vol.
$10,472 Vol.
9°C以下
<1%
10℃
<1%
11℃
<1%
12℃
<1%
13℃
100%
14℃
<1%
15℃
<1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from Météo-France and major ensembles such as ECMWF have converged on an overnight minimum of 13°C for Paris on June 14, 2026, with clear skies, light winds, and no significant frontal passages supporting radiative cooling to that level. Official guidance places the low near dawn, consistent with climatological June minima around 12–14°C and recent model runs showing tight clustering without outlier solutions below 12°C or above 14°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty band, as the 13°C bin captures the modal outcome across authoritative sources. A late surge in cloud cover or an unforecasted northerly flow could still shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C at official stations, though such revisions appear unlikely within the remaining observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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