Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and thunderstorms across Taipei on June 14 have suppressed solar heating, anchoring short-range ensemble forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration near a daytime maximum of 28°C. These stable model outputs, typical of early-summer Meiyu influences, explain the overwhelming market consensus at 100% implied probability for 28°C. A late-day break in cloud cover or lighter precipitation could allow brief warming toward 29–30°C before the official high is recorded, though current guidance shows little support for such a shift.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月14日の台北の最高気温は?
28°C 100.0%
23℃以下 <1%
24℃ <1%
25°C <1%
$60,880 Vol.
$60,880 Vol.
23℃以下
<1%
24℃
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28°C
100%
29℃
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32°C
<1%
33℃以上
<1%
28°C 100.0%
23℃以下 <1%
24℃ <1%
25°C <1%
$60,880 Vol.
$60,880 Vol.
23℃以下
<1%
24℃
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28°C
100%
29℃
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32°C
<1%
33℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and thunderstorms across Taipei on June 14 have suppressed solar heating, anchoring short-range ensemble forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration near a daytime maximum of 28°C. These stable model outputs, typical of early-summer Meiyu influences, explain the overwhelming market consensus at 100% implied probability for 28°C. A late-day break in cloud cover or lighter precipitation could allow brief warming toward 29–30°C before the official high is recorded, though current guidance shows little support for such a shift.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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