Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate cluster Shanghai's June 16 overnight low near 22–23°C, with trader consensus favoring these outcomes amid early Meiyu (plum rain) conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and light showers. These factors limit radiative cooling by trapping heat and reducing clear-sky temperature drops, keeping minima above typical dry-season baselines. Slight model spreads in timing and intensity of cloud breaks explain the close odds between 22°C and 24°C, while historical June lows averaging 20–22°C provide context for the narrow distribution. Updated runs from NOAA and regional agencies ahead of June 16 will refine steering patterns and precipitation, potentially shifting probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月16日の上海の最低気温は？
6月16日の上海の最低気温は？
23℃ 32%
22℃ 29%
24°C 21%
21℃ 9%
新規
新規
2026/06/16
18℃以下
1%
19℃
1%
20°C
5%
21℃
9%
22℃
29%
23℃
32%
24°C
21%
25°C
9%
26℃
1%
27°C
<1%
28℃以上
<1%
23℃ 32%
22℃ 29%
24°C 21%
21℃ 9%
新規
新規
2026/06/16
18℃以下
$200 Vol.
1%
19℃
$41 Vol.
1%
20°C
$11 Vol.
5%
21℃
$8 Vol.
9%
22℃
$0 Vol.
29%
23℃
$0 Vol.
32%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$0 Vol.
9%
26℃
$47 Vol.
1%
27°C
$22 Vol.
<1%
28℃以上
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate cluster Shanghai's June 16 overnight low near 22–23°C, with trader consensus favoring these outcomes amid early Meiyu (plum rain) conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and light showers. These factors limit radiative cooling by trapping heat and reducing clear-sky temperature drops, keeping minima above typical dry-season baselines. Slight model spreads in timing and intensity of cloud breaks explain the close odds between 22°C and 24°C, while historical June lows averaging 20–22°C provide context for the narrow distribution. Updated runs from NOAA and regional agencies ahead of June 16 will refine steering patterns and precipitation, potentially shifting probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$350終了日
2026/06/16マーケット開始日
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate cluster Shanghai's June 16 overnight low near 22–23°C, with trader consensus favoring these outcomes amid early Meiyu (plum rain) conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and light showers. These factors limit radiative cooling by trapping heat and reducing clear-sky temperature drops, keeping minima above typical dry-season baselines. Slight model spreads in timing and intensity of cloud breaks explain the close odds between 22°C and 24°C, while historical June lows averaging 20–22°C provide context for the narrow distribution. Updated runs from NOAA and regional agencies ahead of June 16 will refine steering patterns and precipitation, potentially shifting probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$350終了日
2026/06/16マーケット開始日
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate cluster Shanghai's June 16 overnight low near 22–23°C, with trader consensus favoring these outcomes amid early Meiyu (plum rain) conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and light showers. These factors limit radiative cooling by trapping heat and reducing clear-sky temperature drops, keeping minima above typical dry-season baselines. Slight model spreads in timing and intensity of cloud breaks explain the close odds between 22°C and 24°C, while historical June lows averaging 20–22°C provide context for the narrow distribution. Updated runs from NOAA and regional agencies ahead of June 16 will refine steering patterns and precipitation, potentially shifting probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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