**Traders have converged on 21°C as the near-certain outcome for the highest temperature recorded at London City Airport on June 14, 2026, reflecting stable, mild conditions after May’s exceptional heatwave.** Official Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum of 20–22°C under mostly dry, sunny intervals with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover, consistent with early-summer climatology for the region. Recent cooling following late-May warmth has kept temperatures near or slightly below seasonal averages, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations. The 99.8% implied probability for 21°C incorporates real-time trader assessments of forecast stability and the narrow range of possible observations at the official station. Only an unexpected surge in insolation or a localized warm advection event—both deemed highly improbable by current model consensus—could realistically push readings to 22°C or higher before the day ends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月14日のロンドンの最高気温は？
6月14日のロンドンの最高気温は？
21°C 99.8%
24℃ <1%
22°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
$166,862 Vol.
$166,862 Vol.
2026/06/14
17°C or below
<1%
18℃
<1%
19°C
<1%
20℃
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃以上
<1%
21°C 99.8%
24℃ <1%
22°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
$166,862 Vol.
$166,862 Vol.
2026/06/14
17°C or below
$27,170 Vol.
<1%
18℃
$3,912 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$20,609 Vol.
<1%
20℃
$29,351 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$27,137 Vol.
100%
22°C
$19,439 Vol.
<1%
23℃
$23,407 Vol.
<1%
24℃
$10,701 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,200 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$1,307 Vol.
<1%
27℃以上
$708 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders have converged on 21°C as the near-certain outcome for the highest temperature recorded at London City Airport on June 14, 2026, reflecting stable, mild conditions after May’s exceptional heatwave.** Official Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum of 20–22°C under mostly dry, sunny intervals with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover, consistent with early-summer climatology for the region. Recent cooling following late-May warmth has kept temperatures near or slightly below seasonal averages, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations.
The 99.8% implied probability for 21°C incorporates real-time trader assessments of forecast stability and the narrow range of possible observations at the official station. Only an unexpected surge in insolation or a localized warm advection event—both deemed highly improbable by current model consensus—could realistically push readings to 22°C or higher before the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$166,862終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders have converged on 21°C as the near-certain outcome for the highest temperature recorded at London City Airport on June 14, 2026, reflecting stable, mild conditions after May’s exceptional heatwave.** Official Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum of 20–22°C under mostly dry, sunny intervals with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover, consistent with early-summer climatology for the region. Recent cooling following late-May warmth has kept temperatures near or slightly below seasonal averages, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations.
The 99.8% implied probability for 21°C incorporates real-time trader assessments of forecast stability and the narrow range of possible observations at the official station. Only an unexpected surge in insolation or a localized warm advection event—both deemed highly improbable by current model consensus—could realistically push readings to 22°C or higher before the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$166,862終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET**Traders have converged on 21°C as the near-certain outcome for the highest temperature recorded at London City Airport on June 14, 2026, reflecting stable, mild conditions after May’s exceptional heatwave.** Official Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum of 20–22°C under mostly dry, sunny intervals with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover, consistent with early-summer climatology for the region. Recent cooling following late-May warmth has kept temperatures near or slightly below seasonal averages, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations. The 99.8% implied probability for 21°C incorporates real-time trader assessments of forecast stability and the narrow range of possible observations at the official station. Only an unexpected surge in insolation or a localized warm advection event—both deemed highly improbable by current model consensus—could realistically push readings to 22°C or higher before the day ends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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