Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus for June 14 points to a peak temperature near 87–88°F at Central Park or LaGuardia, with afternoon southwest winds and a modest chance of showers limiting further warming. This aligns with the market’s leading 88–89°F bin at 53% implied probability, as seasonal mid-June averages hover near 80°F yet current steering patterns and modest above-normal guidance support the upper-80s range. Shorter-range model runs show limited spread, keeping 86–87°F and 90–91°F at 27% and 16.5% respectively, while probabilities for extremes below 85°F or above 92°F remain under 3% each given the absence of stronger ridging or cold-air advection. Updated afternoon observations and final NWS verification will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月14日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
6月14日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
88～89°F 53%
86〜87°F 27%
90〜91°F 16%
84〜85°F 2.8%
新規
$25,186 Vol.
新規
$25,186 Vol.
2026/06/14
83°F以下
1%
84〜85°F
3%
86〜87°F
27%
88～89°F
53%
90〜91°F
16%
92〜93°F
2%
94～95°F
<1%
96～97°F
<1%
98〜99°F
<1%
100～101°F
<1%
102°F以上
<1%
88～89°F 53%
86〜87°F 27%
90〜91°F 16%
84〜85°F 2.8%
新規
$25,186 Vol.
新規
$25,186 Vol.
2026/06/14
83°F以下
$2,448 Vol.
1%
84〜85°F
$2,792 Vol.
3%
86〜87°F
$2,692 Vol.
27%
88～89°F
$2,093 Vol.
53%
90〜91°F
$5,988 Vol.
16%
92〜93°F
$3,709 Vol.
2%
94～95°F
$3,581 Vol.
<1%
96～97°F
$767 Vol.
<1%
98〜99°F
$901 Vol.
<1%
100～101°F
$432 Vol.
<1%
102°F以上
$401 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus for June 14 points to a peak temperature near 87–88°F at Central Park or LaGuardia, with afternoon southwest winds and a modest chance of showers limiting further warming. This aligns with the market’s leading 88–89°F bin at 53% implied probability, as seasonal mid-June averages hover near 80°F yet current steering patterns and modest above-normal guidance support the upper-80s range. Shorter-range model runs show limited spread, keeping 86–87°F and 90–91°F at 27% and 16.5% respectively, while probabilities for extremes below 85°F or above 92°F remain under 3% each given the absence of stronger ridging or cold-air advection. Updated afternoon observations and final NWS verification will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$25,186終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus for June 14 points to a peak temperature near 87–88°F at Central Park or LaGuardia, with afternoon southwest winds and a modest chance of showers limiting further warming. This aligns with the market’s leading 88–89°F bin at 53% implied probability, as seasonal mid-June averages hover near 80°F yet current steering patterns and modest above-normal guidance support the upper-80s range. Shorter-range model runs show limited spread, keeping 86–87°F and 90–91°F at 27% and 16.5% respectively, while probabilities for extremes below 85°F or above 92°F remain under 3% each given the absence of stronger ridging or cold-air advection. Updated afternoon observations and final NWS verification will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$25,186終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and private model consensus for June 14 points to a peak temperature near 87–88°F at Central Park or LaGuardia, with afternoon southwest winds and a modest chance of showers limiting further warming. This aligns with the market’s leading 88–89°F bin at 53% implied probability, as seasonal mid-June averages hover near 80°F yet current steering patterns and modest above-normal guidance support the upper-80s range. Shorter-range model runs show limited spread, keeping 86–87°F and 90–91°F at 27% and 16.5% respectively, while probabilities for extremes below 85°F or above 92°F remain under 3% each given the absence of stronger ridging or cold-air advection. Updated afternoon observations and final NWS verification will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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