Current short-range forecasts from MetService and international models converge on a Wellington maximum of 11–13°C for June 16, 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the 12°C and 13°C brackets. In mid-winter, cooler southerly or southwesterly flows and cloud cover associated with approaching fronts typically suppress daytime highs below the seasonal 13°C average, while any northerly advection could briefly lift readings. Recent model runs show light rain chances and stable pressure patterns that limit warming, consistent with NIWA’s near-average temperature outlook for the region. Forecast uncertainty remains due to potential timing shifts in fronts or model spread, with updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
12°C 36%
13°C 25%
11°C 17%
14°C 3.1%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
17%
12°C
36%
13°C
25%
14°C
3%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 36%
13°C 25%
11°C 17%
14°C 3.1%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
17%
12°C
36%
13°C
25%
14°C
3%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current short-range forecasts from MetService and international models converge on a Wellington maximum of 11–13°C for June 16, 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the 12°C and 13°C brackets. In mid-winter, cooler southerly or southwesterly flows and cloud cover associated with approaching fronts typically suppress daytime highs below the seasonal 13°C average, while any northerly advection could briefly lift readings. Recent model runs show light rain chances and stable pressure patterns that limit warming, consistent with NIWA’s near-average temperature outlook for the region. Forecast uncertainty remains due to potential timing shifts in fronts or model spread, with updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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