Forecast models from the Met Office and BBC indicate a daytime maximum near 21–23°C at Amsterdam Schiphol on June 16, driven by a shift to south-easterly flow that advects warmer continental air while limiting strong diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies and moderate winds. This setup produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 22°C and 23°C, with modest probability on 24°C reflecting residual uncertainty in cloud timing and peak insolation. Mid-June climatology shows average highs near 19–20°C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly tied to the evolving pressure gradient. Updated model runs and KNMI observations over the next 48 hours will narrow the exact threshold as the observation window approaches.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 16?
22°C 36%
23°C 32%
24°C 17%
21°C 7%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
7%
22°C
36%
23°C
32%
24°C
17%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 36%
23°C 32%
24°C 17%
21°C 7%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
7%
22°C
36%
23°C
32%
24°C
17%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the Met Office and BBC indicate a daytime maximum near 21–23°C at Amsterdam Schiphol on June 16, driven by a shift to south-easterly flow that advects warmer continental air while limiting strong diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies and moderate winds. This setup produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 22°C and 23°C, with modest probability on 24°C reflecting residual uncertainty in cloud timing and peak insolation. Mid-June climatology shows average highs near 19–20°C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly tied to the evolving pressure gradient. Updated model runs and KNMI observations over the next 48 hours will narrow the exact threshold as the observation window approaches.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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