Forecast consensus from European models, including ECMWF and KNMI guidance, positions 17–18°C as the most likely daily maximum for Amsterdam on June 15, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly flow and limited daytime heating. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities, reflecting trader assessment of stable synoptic patterns rather than anomalous warmth or cooling. June climatology shows average highs near 19°C, yet short-range runs indicate suppressed temperatures from residual Atlantic influence and cloud cover limiting solar insolation. Minor model spread exists on exact peak timing, but no significant shifts have emerged in recent updates, keeping odds concentrated on these central outcomes while lower probabilities for 19°C+ capture residual upside potential if skies clear more than expected.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 15?
18°C 45%
17°C 34%
19°C 12%
16°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/06/15
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
7%
17°C
34%
18°C
45%
19°C
12%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 45%
17°C 34%
19°C 12%
16°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/06/15
14°C or below
$388 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$335 Vol.
1%
16°C
$709 Vol.
7%
17°C
$769 Vol.
34%
18°C
$354 Vol.
45%
19°C
$779 Vol.
12%
20°C
$423 Vol.
2%
21°C
$497 Vol.
1%
22°C
$417 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$594 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$50 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from European models, including ECMWF and KNMI guidance, positions 17–18°C as the most likely daily maximum for Amsterdam on June 15, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly flow and limited daytime heating. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities, reflecting trader assessment of stable synoptic patterns rather than anomalous warmth or cooling. June climatology shows average highs near 19°C, yet short-range runs indicate suppressed temperatures from residual Atlantic influence and cloud cover limiting solar insolation. Minor model spread exists on exact peak timing, but no significant shifts have emerged in recent updates, keeping odds concentrated on these central outcomes while lower probabilities for 19°C+ capture residual upside potential if skies clear more than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
音量
$5,289終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from European models, including ECMWF and KNMI guidance, positions 17–18°C as the most likely daily maximum for Amsterdam on June 15, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly flow and limited daytime heating. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities, reflecting trader assessment of stable synoptic patterns rather than anomalous warmth or cooling. June climatology shows average highs near 19°C, yet short-range runs indicate suppressed temperatures from residual Atlantic influence and cloud cover limiting solar insolation. Minor model spread exists on exact peak timing, but no significant shifts have emerged in recent updates, keeping odds concentrated on these central outcomes while lower probabilities for 19°C+ capture residual upside potential if skies clear more than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,289終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETForecast consensus from European models, including ECMWF and KNMI guidance, positions 17–18°C as the most likely daily maximum for Amsterdam on June 15, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly flow and limited daytime heating. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities, reflecting trader assessment of stable synoptic patterns rather than anomalous warmth or cooling. June climatology shows average highs near 19°C, yet short-range runs indicate suppressed temperatures from residual Atlantic influence and cloud cover limiting solar insolation. Minor model spread exists on exact peak timing, but no significant shifts have emerged in recent updates, keeping odds concentrated on these central outcomes while lower probabilities for 19°C+ capture residual upside potential if skies clear more than expected.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問