**Current meteorological forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com, BBC Weather, and weather25.com converge on a maximum temperature of 33°C for Chengdu on June 14, 2026, aligning with typical mid-June climatology where daily highs average 28–33°C amid the onset of the rainy season.** Official guidance points to partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation, limiting daytime heating while preventing significant suppression from cloud cover or rain. This consensus drives the overwhelming 99.6% market-implied probability for 33°C as the official high, reflecting traders' assessment of model agreement and historical analogs. Realistic challenges include last-minute forecast revisions from the China Meteorological Administration if unexpected afternoon clearing boosts insolation or if localized showers cap the peak below 33°C, though current data make such shifts improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 14?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 14?
33°C 99.6%
35°C <1%
34°C <1%
31°C or below <1%
$54,099 Vol.
$54,099 Vol.
2026/06/14
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.6%
35°C <1%
34°C <1%
31°C or below <1%
$54,099 Vol.
$54,099 Vol.
2026/06/14
31°C or below
$11,600 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$10,852 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$12,351 Vol.
100%
34°C
$5,294 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$3,718 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$4,009 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$2,077 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$2,711 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$652 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$713 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$611 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current meteorological forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com, BBC Weather, and weather25.com converge on a maximum temperature of 33°C for Chengdu on June 14, 2026, aligning with typical mid-June climatology where daily highs average 28–33°C amid the onset of the rainy season.** Official guidance points to partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation, limiting daytime heating while preventing significant suppression from cloud cover or rain. This consensus drives the overwhelming 99.6% market-implied probability for 33°C as the official high, reflecting traders' assessment of model agreement and historical analogs.
Realistic challenges include last-minute forecast revisions from the China Meteorological Administration if unexpected afternoon clearing boosts insolation or if localized showers cap the peak below 33°C, though current data make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
音量
$54,099終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current meteorological forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com, BBC Weather, and weather25.com converge on a maximum temperature of 33°C for Chengdu on June 14, 2026, aligning with typical mid-June climatology where daily highs average 28–33°C amid the onset of the rainy season.** Official guidance points to partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation, limiting daytime heating while preventing significant suppression from cloud cover or rain. This consensus drives the overwhelming 99.6% market-implied probability for 33°C as the official high, reflecting traders' assessment of model agreement and historical analogs.
Realistic challenges include last-minute forecast revisions from the China Meteorological Administration if unexpected afternoon clearing boosts insolation or if localized showers cap the peak below 33°C, though current data make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$54,099終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ET**Current meteorological forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com, BBC Weather, and weather25.com converge on a maximum temperature of 33°C for Chengdu on June 14, 2026, aligning with typical mid-June climatology where daily highs average 28–33°C amid the onset of the rainy season.** Official guidance points to partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation, limiting daytime heating while preventing significant suppression from cloud cover or rain. This consensus drives the overwhelming 99.6% market-implied probability for 33°C as the official high, reflecting traders' assessment of model agreement and historical analogs. Realistic challenges include last-minute forecast revisions from the China Meteorological Administration if unexpected afternoon clearing boosts insolation or if localized showers cap the peak below 33°C, though current data make such shifts improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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