Current forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office and timeanddate point to a daytime maximum near 30–32°C in Chengdu on June 15 under cloudy skies, with limited sunshine and possible light rain suppressing further warming in this subtropical monsoon climate. These conditions align with typical mid-June climatology, where average highs hover around 29–31°C before peak summer heat builds later in the month. The market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C or below (over 60%) reflects this consensus, while slim odds above 33°C account for model uncertainty in cloud cover or brief clearing. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will be the key near-term driver for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 15?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 15?
31°C or below 62%
32°C 22%
33°C 8%
34°C 5.0%
新規
$13,641 Vol.
新規
$13,641 Vol.
2026/06/15
31°C or below
62%
32°C
22%
33°C
8%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
31°C or below 62%
32°C 22%
33°C 8%
34°C 5.0%
新規
$13,641 Vol.
新規
$13,641 Vol.
2026/06/15
31°C or below
$3,862 Vol.
62%
32°C
$1,228 Vol.
22%
33°C
$825 Vol.
8%
34°C
$1,012 Vol.
5%
35°C
$1,962 Vol.
1%
36°C
$1,591 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,108 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$647 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$525 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$548 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$442 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office and timeanddate point to a daytime maximum near 30–32°C in Chengdu on June 15 under cloudy skies, with limited sunshine and possible light rain suppressing further warming in this subtropical monsoon climate. These conditions align with typical mid-June climatology, where average highs hover around 29–31°C before peak summer heat builds later in the month. The market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C or below (over 60%) reflects this consensus, while slim odds above 33°C account for model uncertainty in cloud cover or brief clearing. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will be the key near-term driver for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
音量
$13,641終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office and timeanddate point to a daytime maximum near 30–32°C in Chengdu on June 15 under cloudy skies, with limited sunshine and possible light rain suppressing further warming in this subtropical monsoon climate. These conditions align with typical mid-June climatology, where average highs hover around 29–31°C before peak summer heat builds later in the month. The market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C or below (over 60%) reflects this consensus, while slim odds above 33°C account for model uncertainty in cloud cover or brief clearing. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will be the key near-term driver for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$13,641終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office and timeanddate point to a daytime maximum near 30–32°C in Chengdu on June 15 under cloudy skies, with limited sunshine and possible light rain suppressing further warming in this subtropical monsoon climate. These conditions align with typical mid-June climatology, where average highs hover around 29–31°C before peak summer heat builds later in the month. The market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C or below (over 60%) reflects this consensus, while slim odds above 33°C account for model uncertainty in cloud cover or brief clearing. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will be the key near-term driver for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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