**High pressure building over or near southern Britain is the main driver behind current trader positioning, supporting mostly dry, settled conditions and above-average temperatures across London on June 16.** Ensemble guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF shows light winds and limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime solar heating, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching the mid-20s Celsius. Small differences in the precise strength and position of the ridge, plus minor variations in low-level flow direction, explain why 25 °C and 26 °C remain the closest outcomes: a slightly stronger southerly component or clearer skies could push readings one degree higher, while increased cloud or a fresher breeze would cap them at 25 °C or below. Historical June maxima in London average around 20–21 °C, so the current setup represents a clear warm anomaly that has kept probabilities tightly clustered in the low-to-mid 20s rather than spreading more widely. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for any shift in market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in London on June 16?
Highest temperature in London on June 16?
25°C 35%
26°C 32%
24°C 15%
27°C 8.0%
新規
新規
2026/06/16
22°C or below
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
15%
25°C
35%
26°C
32%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 35%
26°C 32%
24°C 15%
27°C 8.0%
新規
新規
2026/06/16
22°C or below
$483 Vol.
1%
23°C
$156 Vol.
5%
24°C
$1,128 Vol.
15%
25°C
$428 Vol.
35%
26°C
$250 Vol.
32%
27°C
$1,432 Vol.
8%
28°C
$1,072 Vol.
2%
29°C
$515 Vol.
1%
30°C
$376 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$468 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$456 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**High pressure building over or near southern Britain is the main driver behind current trader positioning, supporting mostly dry, settled conditions and above-average temperatures across London on June 16.** Ensemble guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF shows light winds and limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime solar heating, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching the mid-20s Celsius.
Small differences in the precise strength and position of the ridge, plus minor variations in low-level flow direction, explain why 25 °C and 26 °C remain the closest outcomes: a slightly stronger southerly component or clearer skies could push readings one degree higher, while increased cloud or a fresher breeze would cap them at 25 °C or below. Historical June maxima in London average around 20–21 °C, so the current setup represents a clear warm anomaly that has kept probabilities tightly clustered in the low-to-mid 20s rather than spreading more widely. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for any shift in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
音量
$6,665終了日
2026/06/16マーケット開始日
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**High pressure building over or near southern Britain is the main driver behind current trader positioning, supporting mostly dry, settled conditions and above-average temperatures across London on June 16.** Ensemble guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF shows light winds and limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime solar heating, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching the mid-20s Celsius.
Small differences in the precise strength and position of the ridge, plus minor variations in low-level flow direction, explain why 25 °C and 26 °C remain the closest outcomes: a slightly stronger southerly component or clearer skies could push readings one degree higher, while increased cloud or a fresher breeze would cap them at 25 °C or below. Historical June maxima in London average around 20–21 °C, so the current setup represents a clear warm anomaly that has kept probabilities tightly clustered in the low-to-mid 20s rather than spreading more widely. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for any shift in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,665終了日
2026/06/16マーケット開始日
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET**High pressure building over or near southern Britain is the main driver behind current trader positioning, supporting mostly dry, settled conditions and above-average temperatures across London on June 16.** Ensemble guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF shows light winds and limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime solar heating, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching the mid-20s Celsius. Small differences in the precise strength and position of the ridge, plus minor variations in low-level flow direction, explain why 25 °C and 26 °C remain the closest outcomes: a slightly stronger southerly component or clearer skies could push readings one degree higher, while increased cloud or a fresher breeze would cap them at 25 °C or below. Historical June maxima in London average around 20–21 °C, so the current setup represents a clear warm anomaly that has kept probabilities tightly clustered in the low-to-mid 20s rather than spreading more widely. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for any shift in market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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