Official JMA forecasts for Tokyo on June 15 point to rainy and cloudy conditions with a projected high near 20°C, anchoring trader consensus around the closely matched 21°C (36.5%) and 22°C (34.5%) outcomes. Early tsuyu rainy-season patterns, with high morning precipitation probabilities, limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima, while any afternoon clearing could allow brief warming. Subtle differences in model timing of cloud breaks or rain intensity explain the tight spread between 20–23°C bins, as small shifts in insolation alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs over the next 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月15日の東京の最高気温は?
21℃ 37%
22°C 35%
23°C 16%
20℃ 7%
$22,399 Vol.
$22,399 Vol.
17℃以下
<1%
18℃
<1%
19℃
2%
20℃
7%
21℃
37%
22°C
35%
23°C
16%
24°C
2%
25℃
1%
26℃
<1%
27℃以上
<1%
21℃ 37%
22°C 35%
23°C 16%
20℃ 7%
$22,399 Vol.
$22,399 Vol.
17℃以下
<1%
18℃
<1%
19℃
2%
20℃
7%
21℃
37%
22°C
35%
23°C
16%
24°C
2%
25℃
1%
26℃
<1%
27℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official JMA forecasts for Tokyo on June 15 point to rainy and cloudy conditions with a projected high near 20°C, anchoring trader consensus around the closely matched 21°C (36.5%) and 22°C (34.5%) outcomes. Early tsuyu rainy-season patterns, with high morning precipitation probabilities, limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima, while any afternoon clearing could allow brief warming. Subtle differences in model timing of cloud breaks or rain intensity explain the tight spread between 20–23°C bins, as small shifts in insolation alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs over the next 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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