Latest India Meteorological Department short-range guidance and ensemble model runs point to peak daytime maxima of 38–39°C in Lucknow on June 16, driven by increasing low-level moisture ahead of the monsoon trough and scattered thundershower activity that limits insolation. Recent observations show surface temperatures near 42–44°C under clearer skies, but the expected arrival of a western disturbance remnant and strengthening southeasterlies are forecast to enhance cloud cover and raise relative humidity, capping extremes. Historical June climatology for the city centers near 39°C, yet interannual variability tied to monsoon onset timing keeps the distribution centered on these two bins; updated IMD bulletins and 48-hour model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 16?
38°C 37%
39°C 20%
37°C 15%
36°C 9.1%
35°C or below
1%
36°C
9%
37°C
15%
38°C
37%
39°C
27%
40°C
6%
41°C
4%
42°C
3%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
38°C 37%
39°C 20%
37°C 15%
36°C 9.1%
35°C or below
1%
36°C
9%
37°C
15%
38°C
37%
39°C
27%
40°C
6%
41°C
4%
42°C
3%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 14, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest India Meteorological Department short-range guidance and ensemble model runs point to peak daytime maxima of 38–39°C in Lucknow on June 16, driven by increasing low-level moisture ahead of the monsoon trough and scattered thundershower activity that limits insolation. Recent observations show surface temperatures near 42–44°C under clearer skies, but the expected arrival of a western disturbance remnant and strengthening southeasterlies are forecast to enhance cloud cover and raise relative humidity, capping extremes. Historical June climatology for the city centers near 39°C, yet interannual variability tied to monsoon onset timing keeps the distribution centered on these two bins; updated IMD bulletins and 48-hour model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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