Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for western Uttar Pradesh highlight increased cloud cover and thundershowers on June 14, which are suppressing peak heating and positioning 37°C as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability. Prevailing pre-monsoon conditions, including moderate humidity and westerly flow, typically allow June maxima near 38–40°C, yet incoming moisture from eastern systems is expected to cap radiative warming and reduce the chance of 39°C or higher readings. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential today, aligning trader sentiment with the 36–38°C cluster that accounts for over 90% of probability mass. Updated observational data from the past 24 hours, including lower observed maxima on June 13, have reinforced this range ahead of final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 14?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 14?
37℃ 47%
38°C 24%
36°C 22%
39°C 6%
新規
$14,480 Vol.
新規
$14,480 Vol.
2026/06/14
32℃以下
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
22%
37℃
47%
38°C
24%
39°C
6%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C以上
<1%
37℃ 47%
38°C 24%
36°C 22%
39°C 6%
新規
$14,480 Vol.
新規
$14,480 Vol.
2026/06/14
32℃以下
$564 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,363 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,769 Vol.
1%
35°C
$2,172 Vol.
2%
36°C
$2,001 Vol.
22%
37℃
$957 Vol.
47%
38°C
$815 Vol.
24%
39°C
$1,478 Vol.
6%
40°C
$1,904 Vol.
1%
41°C
$1,008 Vol.
<1%
42°C以上
$931 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for western Uttar Pradesh highlight increased cloud cover and thundershowers on June 14, which are suppressing peak heating and positioning 37°C as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability. Prevailing pre-monsoon conditions, including moderate humidity and westerly flow, typically allow June maxima near 38–40°C, yet incoming moisture from eastern systems is expected to cap radiative warming and reduce the chance of 39°C or higher readings. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential today, aligning trader sentiment with the 36–38°C cluster that accounts for over 90% of probability mass. Updated observational data from the past 24 hours, including lower observed maxima on June 13, have reinforced this range ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 12, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
音量
$14,480終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 1:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for western Uttar Pradesh highlight increased cloud cover and thundershowers on June 14, which are suppressing peak heating and positioning 37°C as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability. Prevailing pre-monsoon conditions, including moderate humidity and westerly flow, typically allow June maxima near 38–40°C, yet incoming moisture from eastern systems is expected to cap radiative warming and reduce the chance of 39°C or higher readings. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential today, aligning trader sentiment with the 36–38°C cluster that accounts for over 90% of probability mass. Updated observational data from the past 24 hours, including lower observed maxima on June 13, have reinforced this range ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$14,480終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 1:07 AM ETRecent India Meteorological Department forecasts for western Uttar Pradesh highlight increased cloud cover and thundershowers on June 14, which are suppressing peak heating and positioning 37°C as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability. Prevailing pre-monsoon conditions, including moderate humidity and westerly flow, typically allow June maxima near 38–40°C, yet incoming moisture from eastern systems is expected to cap radiative warming and reduce the chance of 39°C or higher readings. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential today, aligning trader sentiment with the 36–38°C cluster that accounts for over 90% of probability mass. Updated observational data from the past 24 hours, including lower observed maxima on June 13, have reinforced this range ahead of final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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