**Current forecasts from meteorological sources position a Tokyo minimum temperature of 16–19°C as the most probable range for June 15, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (18°C at 52%, 19°C at 34.5%, and 17°C at 23.5%).** A clearing trend after recent rainfall supports this: June 14 featured cloudy/rainy conditions with a low near 17°C, while June 15 is expected to turn mostly sunny with daytime highs reaching 28°C and overnight radiative cooling yielding a low around 16°C. June climatology in Tokyo shows average overnight lows near 20°C, but the current pattern—post-frontal clearing and moderate humidity—favors slightly cooler minima than the seasonal mean. Model consensus (including short-range guidance) indicates limited overnight cloud cover, keeping the temperature from dropping below 16°C or rising above 19°C. Traders appear to be weighting these near-term forecast details heavily, with the tight clustering around 17–19°C reflecting high confidence in the current guidance window before final observations are recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月15日の東京の最低気温は？
6月15日の東京の最低気温は？
18°C 52%
19°C 28%
17°C 24%
16°C 5.4%
新規
新規
2026/06/15
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
5%
17°C
24%
18°C
52%
19°C
28%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 52%
19°C 28%
17°C 24%
16°C 5.4%
新規
新規
2026/06/15
13°C or below
$525 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,002 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$507 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$114 Vol.
5%
17°C
$56 Vol.
24%
18°C
$61 Vol.
52%
19°C
$170 Vol.
28%
20°C
$58 Vol.
5%
21°C
$408 Vol.
1%
22°C
$592 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$387 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from meteorological sources position a Tokyo minimum temperature of 16–19°C as the most probable range for June 15, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (18°C at 52%, 19°C at 34.5%, and 17°C at 23.5%).**
A clearing trend after recent rainfall supports this: June 14 featured cloudy/rainy conditions with a low near 17°C, while June 15 is expected to turn mostly sunny with daytime highs reaching 28°C and overnight radiative cooling yielding a low around 16°C. June climatology in Tokyo shows average overnight lows near 20°C, but the current pattern—post-frontal clearing and moderate humidity—favors slightly cooler minima than the seasonal mean.
Model consensus (including short-range guidance) indicates limited overnight cloud cover, keeping the temperature from dropping below 16°C or rising above 19°C. Traders appear to be weighting these near-term forecast details heavily, with the tight clustering around 17–19°C reflecting high confidence in the current guidance window before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
音量
$3,778終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from meteorological sources position a Tokyo minimum temperature of 16–19°C as the most probable range for June 15, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (18°C at 52%, 19°C at 34.5%, and 17°C at 23.5%).**
A clearing trend after recent rainfall supports this: June 14 featured cloudy/rainy conditions with a low near 17°C, while June 15 is expected to turn mostly sunny with daytime highs reaching 28°C and overnight radiative cooling yielding a low around 16°C. June climatology in Tokyo shows average overnight lows near 20°C, but the current pattern—post-frontal clearing and moderate humidity—favors slightly cooler minima than the seasonal mean.
Model consensus (including short-range guidance) indicates limited overnight cloud cover, keeping the temperature from dropping below 16°C or rising above 19°C. Traders appear to be weighting these near-term forecast details heavily, with the tight clustering around 17–19°C reflecting high confidence in the current guidance window before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,778終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET**Current forecasts from meteorological sources position a Tokyo minimum temperature of 16–19°C as the most probable range for June 15, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (18°C at 52%, 19°C at 34.5%, and 17°C at 23.5%).** A clearing trend after recent rainfall supports this: June 14 featured cloudy/rainy conditions with a low near 17°C, while June 15 is expected to turn mostly sunny with daytime highs reaching 28°C and overnight radiative cooling yielding a low around 16°C. June climatology in Tokyo shows average overnight lows near 20°C, but the current pattern—post-frontal clearing and moderate humidity—favors slightly cooler minima than the seasonal mean. Model consensus (including short-range guidance) indicates limited overnight cloud cover, keeping the temperature from dropping below 16°C or rising above 19°C. Traders appear to be weighting these near-term forecast details heavily, with the tight clustering around 17–19°C reflecting high confidence in the current guidance window before final observations are recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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