Weather forecast models from European agencies show strong consensus for a daily maximum of 33–34°C in Madrid on June 14 under mostly sunny, stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-June, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability near 77%. Subtropical ridge influence, peak solar insolation near the summer solstice, and Madrid’s urban heat island effect support temperatures in this range, consistent with climatological averages for the date. Minor model spreads around afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing introduce modest uncertainty, keeping the 35°C bin at 19.5% while colder or hotter extremes remain below 5% and 2% respectively. Updated model runs through the morning will provide the next key data point for traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Madrid on June 14?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 14?
34°C 48%
33°C 30%
35°C 20%
32°C 4.3%
$31,154 Vol.
$31,154 Vol.
2026/06/14
31°C or below
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
30%
34°C
48%
35°C
20%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 48%
33°C 30%
35°C 20%
32°C 4.3%
$31,154 Vol.
$31,154 Vol.
2026/06/14
31°C or below
$3,231 Vol.
1%
32°C
$4,848 Vol.
4%
33°C
$5,039 Vol.
30%
34°C
$4,170 Vol.
48%
35°C
$5,631 Vol.
20%
36°C
$5,655 Vol.
2%
37°C
$1,843 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$766 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$564 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$422 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$417 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Weather forecast models from European agencies show strong consensus for a daily maximum of 33–34°C in Madrid on June 14 under mostly sunny, stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-June, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability near 77%. Subtropical ridge influence, peak solar insolation near the summer solstice, and Madrid’s urban heat island effect support temperatures in this range, consistent with climatological averages for the date. Minor model spreads around afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing introduce modest uncertainty, keeping the 35°C bin at 19.5% while colder or hotter extremes remain below 5% and 2% respectively. Updated model runs through the morning will provide the next key data point for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
音量
$31,154終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Weather forecast models from European agencies show strong consensus for a daily maximum of 33–34°C in Madrid on June 14 under mostly sunny, stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-June, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability near 77%. Subtropical ridge influence, peak solar insolation near the summer solstice, and Madrid’s urban heat island effect support temperatures in this range, consistent with climatological averages for the date. Minor model spreads around afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing introduce modest uncertainty, keeping the 35°C bin at 19.5% while colder or hotter extremes remain below 5% and 2% respectively. Updated model runs through the morning will provide the next key data point for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$31,154終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETWeather forecast models from European agencies show strong consensus for a daily maximum of 33–34°C in Madrid on June 14 under mostly sunny, stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-June, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability near 77%. Subtropical ridge influence, peak solar insolation near the summer solstice, and Madrid’s urban heat island effect support temperatures in this range, consistent with climatological averages for the date. Minor model spreads around afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing introduce modest uncertainty, keeping the 35°C bin at 19.5% while colder or hotter extremes remain below 5% and 2% respectively. Updated model runs through the morning will provide the next key data point for traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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