**Forecast consensus from agencies including AEMET, Met Office, and BBC points to a Madrid high of 30–32°C on June 15, 2026, with light rain showers and light westerly winds expected to moderate peak heating.** This narrow band drives the tight market split between 31°C (38.0%) and 32°C (35.5%), as traders weigh minor differences in model guidance on cloud cover, shower timing, and boundary-layer mixing. Potential convective activity could suppress the maximum by limiting solar insolation, while clearer intervals or a stronger subtropical ridge might allow a brief push toward 33°C. Historical mid-June climatology (average highs near 29–31°C) and current stable synoptic pattern support these outcomes over higher or lower extremes, with resolution hinging on the official airport observation. Updated model runs or AEMET bulletins in the next 24 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
31°C 39%
32°C 36%
33°C 13.2%
30°C 13%
新規
$11,010 Vol.
新規
$11,010 Vol.
2026/06/15
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
13%
31°C
39%
32°C
36%
33°C
13%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
32°C 36%
33°C 13.2%
30°C 13%
新規
$11,010 Vol.
新規
$11,010 Vol.
2026/06/15
27°C or below
$369 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$664 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,442 Vol.
2%
30°C
$1,329 Vol.
13%
31°C
$929 Vol.
39%
32°C
$1,344 Vol.
36%
33°C
$1,711 Vol.
13%
34°C
$1,982 Vol.
1%
35°C
$948 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$46 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$311 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from agencies including AEMET, Met Office, and BBC points to a Madrid high of 30–32°C on June 15, 2026, with light rain showers and light westerly winds expected to moderate peak heating.** This narrow band drives the tight market split between 31°C (38.0%) and 32°C (35.5%), as traders weigh minor differences in model guidance on cloud cover, shower timing, and boundary-layer mixing. Potential convective activity could suppress the maximum by limiting solar insolation, while clearer intervals or a stronger subtropical ridge might allow a brief push toward 33°C. Historical mid-June climatology (average highs near 29–31°C) and current stable synoptic pattern support these outcomes over higher or lower extremes, with resolution hinging on the official airport observation. Updated model runs or AEMET bulletins in the next 24 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
音量
$11,010終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from agencies including AEMET, Met Office, and BBC points to a Madrid high of 30–32°C on June 15, 2026, with light rain showers and light westerly winds expected to moderate peak heating.** This narrow band drives the tight market split between 31°C (38.0%) and 32°C (35.5%), as traders weigh minor differences in model guidance on cloud cover, shower timing, and boundary-layer mixing. Potential convective activity could suppress the maximum by limiting solar insolation, while clearer intervals or a stronger subtropical ridge might allow a brief push toward 33°C. Historical mid-June climatology (average highs near 29–31°C) and current stable synoptic pattern support these outcomes over higher or lower extremes, with resolution hinging on the official airport observation. Updated model runs or AEMET bulletins in the next 24 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$11,010終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET**Forecast consensus from agencies including AEMET, Met Office, and BBC points to a Madrid high of 30–32°C on June 15, 2026, with light rain showers and light westerly winds expected to moderate peak heating.** This narrow band drives the tight market split between 31°C (38.0%) and 32°C (35.5%), as traders weigh minor differences in model guidance on cloud cover, shower timing, and boundary-layer mixing. Potential convective activity could suppress the maximum by limiting solar insolation, while clearer intervals or a stronger subtropical ridge might allow a brief push toward 33°C. Historical mid-June climatology (average highs near 29–31°C) and current stable synoptic pattern support these outcomes over higher or lower extremes, with resolution hinging on the official airport observation. Updated model runs or AEMET bulletins in the next 24 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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