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icon for 6月13日の香港の最低気温は？

6月13日の香港の最低気温は？

icon for 6月13日の香港の最低気温は？

6月13日の香港の最低気温は？

6月 11

6月 12

6月 13

6月 11

6月 12

6月 13

26°C 35%

25°C 21%

27°C 21%

28℃ 16%

Polymarket
新規

26°C 35%

25°C 21%

27°C 21%

28℃ 16%

Polymarket
新規

22°C以下

$157 Vol.

1%

23℃

$27 Vol.

1%

24°C

$146 Vol.

5%

25°C

$0 Vol.

21%

26°C

$13 Vol.

35%

27°C

$0 Vol.

21%

28℃

$0 Vol.

16%

29°C

$27 Vol.

1%

30℃

$27 Vol.

1%

31℃

$27 Vol.

1%

32℃以上

$123 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and international ensembles indicate a likely overnight minimum near 26°C on June 13, driven by expected cloud cover, light rain, and typical summer humidity that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading implied probability for 26°C while the spread across 25–28°C outcomes reflects forecast uncertainty from variable steering flows, potential thunderstorm timing, and urban heat retention in dense areas. Seasonal guidance points to above-normal temperatures overall for June–August 2026, yet short-term diurnal ranges remain sensitive to incoming moisture and wind patterns, with updated model runs and official briefings expected to refine resolution criteria before the close of trading.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$423
終了日
2026/06/13
マーケット開始日
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and international ensembles indicate a likely overnight minimum near 26°C on June 13, driven by expected cloud cover, light rain, and typical summer humidity that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading implied probability for 26°C while the spread across 25–28°C outcomes reflects forecast uncertainty from variable steering flows, potential thunderstorm timing, and urban heat retention in dense areas. Seasonal guidance points to above-normal temperatures overall for June–August 2026, yet short-term diurnal ranges remain sensitive to incoming moisture and wind patterns, with updated model runs and official briefings expected to refine resolution criteria before the close of trading.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$423
終了日
2026/06/13
マーケット開始日
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「6月13日の香港の最低気温は？」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「26°C」で35%、次いで「25°C」が21%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、35¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に35%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「6月13日の香港の最低気温は？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Jun 11, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「6月13日の香港の最低気温は？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「6月13日の香港の最低気温は？」の現在のフロントランナーは「26°C」で35%であり、市場がこの結果に35%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「25°C」で21%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「6月13日の香港の最低気温は？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。