**Trader sentiment for Istanbul’s June 13 maximum temperature centers on 20–22 °C outcomes because current medium-range forecasts and model consensus point to a modest, near-normal peak under the influence of an upper-level trough near Greece.** This pattern favors increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating across the Marmara region. Historical June averages place daytime maxima near 25–26 °C, yet recent synoptic evolution—including persistent moisture and a cooler maritime air mass—has tempered expectations. Official guidance and ensemble spreads show limited potential for strong insolation or downslope warming, keeping the most probable daily high in the low-20s °C range. Small probability differences among 20 °C, 21 °C, and 22 °C reflect typical forecast uncertainty at this lead time: variations in cloud timing, wind strength across the Bosphorus, and exact placement of any weak frontal boundary can shift the observed maximum by 1–2 °C. Higher outcomes (23 °C+) remain possible only if skies clear earlier than modeled, while lower readings would require more persistent rain or stronger on-shore flow. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 13?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 13?
21°C 37%
22°C 30%
20°C 26%
19°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/06/13
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
7%
19°C
10%
20°C
27%
21°C
32%
22°C
22%
23°C
9%
24°C or higher
10%
21°C 37%
22°C 30%
20°C 26%
19°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/06/13
14°C or below
$110 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$130 Vol.
1%
17°C
$399 Vol.
1%
18°C
$5 Vol.
7%
19°C
$0 Vol.
10%
20°C
$71 Vol.
27%
21°C
$37 Vol.
32%
22°C
$73 Vol.
22%
23°C
$20 Vol.
9%
24°C or higher
$286 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Istanbul’s June 13 maximum temperature centers on 20–22 °C outcomes because current medium-range forecasts and model consensus point to a modest, near-normal peak under the influence of an upper-level trough near Greece.** This pattern favors increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating across the Marmara region.
Historical June averages place daytime maxima near 25–26 °C, yet recent synoptic evolution—including persistent moisture and a cooler maritime air mass—has tempered expectations. Official guidance and ensemble spreads show limited potential for strong insolation or downslope warming, keeping the most probable daily high in the low-20s °C range.
Small probability differences among 20 °C, 21 °C, and 22 °C reflect typical forecast uncertainty at this lead time: variations in cloud timing, wind strength across the Bosphorus, and exact placement of any weak frontal boundary can shift the observed maximum by 1–2 °C. Higher outcomes (23 °C+) remain possible only if skies clear earlier than modeled, while lower readings would require more persistent rain or stronger on-shore flow. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 11, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
音量
$1,030終了日
2026/06/13マーケット開始日
Jun 11, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Istanbul’s June 13 maximum temperature centers on 20–22 °C outcomes because current medium-range forecasts and model consensus point to a modest, near-normal peak under the influence of an upper-level trough near Greece.** This pattern favors increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating across the Marmara region.
Historical June averages place daytime maxima near 25–26 °C, yet recent synoptic evolution—including persistent moisture and a cooler maritime air mass—has tempered expectations. Official guidance and ensemble spreads show limited potential for strong insolation or downslope warming, keeping the most probable daily high in the low-20s °C range.
Small probability differences among 20 °C, 21 °C, and 22 °C reflect typical forecast uncertainty at this lead time: variations in cloud timing, wind strength across the Bosphorus, and exact placement of any weak frontal boundary can shift the observed maximum by 1–2 °C. Higher outcomes (23 °C+) remain possible only if skies clear earlier than modeled, while lower readings would require more persistent rain or stronger on-shore flow. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,030終了日
2026/06/13マーケット開始日
Jun 11, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Istanbul’s June 13 maximum temperature centers on 20–22 °C outcomes because current medium-range forecasts and model consensus point to a modest, near-normal peak under the influence of an upper-level trough near Greece.** This pattern favors increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating across the Marmara region. Historical June averages place daytime maxima near 25–26 °C, yet recent synoptic evolution—including persistent moisture and a cooler maritime air mass—has tempered expectations. Official guidance and ensemble spreads show limited potential for strong insolation or downslope warming, keeping the most probable daily high in the low-20s °C range. Small probability differences among 20 °C, 21 °C, and 22 °C reflect typical forecast uncertainty at this lead time: variations in cloud timing, wind strength across the Bosphorus, and exact placement of any weak frontal boundary can shift the observed maximum by 1–2 °C. Higher outcomes (23 °C+) remain possible only if skies clear earlier than modeled, while lower readings would require more persistent rain or stronger on-shore flow. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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