Traders see the highest implied probability on a Shanghai low of 25°C or above for June 13 because recent model guidance points to partly cloudy skies and moderating humidity that could limit overnight cooling. Official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather project nighttime lows near 21–22°C amid typical early-summer conditions, yet the spread across 22–24°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover, wind patterns, and any late-arriving showers during the plum-rain transition period. Historical mid-June averages hover around 20–22°C, so deviations depend on short-term atmospheric shifts that updated runs will clarify before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月13日の上海の最低気温は？
6月13日の上海の最低気温は？
25°C以上 34%
22℃ 21%
23°C 21%
24°C 19%
新規
新規
2026/06/13
15℃以下
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
9%
18°C
12%
19℃
14%
20℃
15%
21°C
17%
22℃
21%
23°C
21%
24°C
19%
25°C以上
34%
25°C以上 34%
22℃ 21%
23°C 21%
24°C 19%
新規
新規
2026/06/13
15℃以下
$0 Vol.
1%
16°C
$27 Vol.
1%
17°C
$10 Vol.
9%
18°C
$0 Vol.
12%
19℃
$0 Vol.
14%
20℃
$0 Vol.
15%
21°C
$0 Vol.
17%
22℃
$0 Vol.
21%
23°C
$0 Vol.
21%
24°C
$0 Vol.
19%
25°C以上
$0 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest implied probability on a Shanghai low of 25°C or above for June 13 because recent model guidance points to partly cloudy skies and moderating humidity that could limit overnight cooling. Official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather project nighttime lows near 21–22°C amid typical early-summer conditions, yet the spread across 22–24°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover, wind patterns, and any late-arriving showers during the plum-rain transition period. Historical mid-June averages hover around 20–22°C, so deviations depend on short-term atmospheric shifts that updated runs will clarify before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/06/13マーケット開始日
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest implied probability on a Shanghai low of 25°C or above for June 13 because recent model guidance points to partly cloudy skies and moderating humidity that could limit overnight cooling. Official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather project nighttime lows near 21–22°C amid typical early-summer conditions, yet the spread across 22–24°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover, wind patterns, and any late-arriving showers during the plum-rain transition period. Historical mid-June averages hover around 20–22°C, so deviations depend on short-term atmospheric shifts that updated runs will clarify before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/06/13マーケット開始日
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETTraders see the highest implied probability on a Shanghai low of 25°C or above for June 13 because recent model guidance points to partly cloudy skies and moderating humidity that could limit overnight cooling. Official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather project nighttime lows near 21–22°C amid typical early-summer conditions, yet the spread across 22–24°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover, wind patterns, and any late-arriving showers during the plum-rain transition period. Historical mid-June averages hover around 20–22°C, so deviations depend on short-term atmospheric shifts that updated runs will clarify before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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