Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature in Seoul on June 13 clustered near 16–17 °C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical nocturnal radiative cooling under early-summer high pressure. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution, where 17 °C leads at 29.5 % implied probability and 16 °C follows at 26 %. Historical June climatology shows average overnight lows near 18 °C, but current guidance indicates slightly enhanced cooling from drier air masses. Key upcoming catalysts include the next KMA short-range update and fresh ECMWF/GFS runs, which could shift probabilities if cloud cover or wind speeds increase.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月13日のソウルの最低気温は?
17℃ 30%
16℃ 26%
18°C 20%
21°C以上 19%
11℃以下
<1%
12℃
<1%
13℃
1%
14°C
9%
15℃
10%
16℃
26%
17℃
30%
18°C
20%
19℃
12%
20℃
9%
21°C以上
19%
17℃ 30%
16℃ 26%
18°C 20%
21°C以上 19%
11℃以下
<1%
12℃
<1%
13℃
1%
14°C
9%
15℃
10%
16℃
26%
17℃
30%
18°C
20%
19℃
12%
20℃
9%
21°C以上
19%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature in Seoul on June 13 clustered near 16–17 °C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical nocturnal radiative cooling under early-summer high pressure. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution, where 17 °C leads at 29.5 % implied probability and 16 °C follows at 26 %. Historical June climatology shows average overnight lows near 18 °C, but current guidance indicates slightly enhanced cooling from drier air masses. Key upcoming catalysts include the next KMA short-range update and fresh ECMWF/GFS runs, which could shift probabilities if cloud cover or wind speeds increase.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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