**Current forecast consensus from MetService and aligned numerical weather prediction models supports a maximum of 14°C in Wellington on June 11, driving the market's near-certain pricing of that outcome.** June climatology for the region shows typical daily highs of 13–14°C under near-average conditions, consistent with NIWA's seasonal outlook of near-average temperatures for central New Zealand. Recent model runs indicate stable northerly or light variable flow with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, allowing afternoon warming to reach but not exceed the 14°C threshold before cooling sets in. Official observations and short-range guidance through the morning confirm this trajectory, with minimal spread across ensemble members. The primary uncertainty remains rapid shifts in cloud cover, wind direction, or frontal timing that could suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C before official daily maximum verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wellington on June 11?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 11?
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
8℃以下 <1%
9°C <1%
$61,180 Vol.
$61,180 Vol.
2026/06/11
8℃以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C以上
<1%
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
8℃以下 <1%
9°C <1%
$61,180 Vol.
$61,180 Vol.
2026/06/11
8℃以下
$317 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,743 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$2,590 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$6,243 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$16,023 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$11,796 Vol.
100%
15°C
$8,129 Vol.
<1%
16℃
$9,389 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$4,048 Vol.
<1%
18°C以上
$615 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from MetService and aligned numerical weather prediction models supports a maximum of 14°C in Wellington on June 11, driving the market's near-certain pricing of that outcome.** June climatology for the region shows typical daily highs of 13–14°C under near-average conditions, consistent with NIWA's seasonal outlook of near-average temperatures for central New Zealand. Recent model runs indicate stable northerly or light variable flow with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, allowing afternoon warming to reach but not exceed the 14°C threshold before cooling sets in. Official observations and short-range guidance through the morning confirm this trajectory, with minimal spread across ensemble members. The primary uncertainty remains rapid shifts in cloud cover, wind direction, or frontal timing that could suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C before official daily maximum verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$61,180終了日
2026/06/11マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from MetService and aligned numerical weather prediction models supports a maximum of 14°C in Wellington on June 11, driving the market's near-certain pricing of that outcome.** June climatology for the region shows typical daily highs of 13–14°C under near-average conditions, consistent with NIWA's seasonal outlook of near-average temperatures for central New Zealand. Recent model runs indicate stable northerly or light variable flow with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, allowing afternoon warming to reach but not exceed the 14°C threshold before cooling sets in. Official observations and short-range guidance through the morning confirm this trajectory, with minimal spread across ensemble members. The primary uncertainty remains rapid shifts in cloud cover, wind direction, or frontal timing that could suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C before official daily maximum verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$61,180終了日
2026/06/11マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET**Current forecast consensus from MetService and aligned numerical weather prediction models supports a maximum of 14°C in Wellington on June 11, driving the market's near-certain pricing of that outcome.** June climatology for the region shows typical daily highs of 13–14°C under near-average conditions, consistent with NIWA's seasonal outlook of near-average temperatures for central New Zealand. Recent model runs indicate stable northerly or light variable flow with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, allowing afternoon warming to reach but not exceed the 14°C threshold before cooling sets in. Official observations and short-range guidance through the morning confirm this trajectory, with minimal spread across ensemble members. The primary uncertainty remains rapid shifts in cloud cover, wind direction, or frontal timing that could suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C before official daily maximum verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問