Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate mostly cloudy conditions for Tokyo on June 13 with daytime highs near 27°C and overnight lows around 18°C, consistent with the seasonal transition toward higher humidity and temperatures during the tsuyu period. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting toward 19–21°C or warmer minima, reflecting typical early-to-mid June climatology where average lows range 18–21°C amid moderating Pacific influences. Recent cooling from a lingering frontal system earlier in the week has given way to gradual warming, reducing downside risk for sub-18°C readings while model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns or cold-air advection that could drive sharper drops. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs in coming hours will further refine overnight minimum expectations ahead of the June 13 observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月13日の東京の最低気温は?
21℃以上 41%
18°C 38%
17°C 34%
16℃ 32%
11℃以下
1%
12°C
1%
13℃
1%
14℃
2%
15℃
24%
16℃
32%
17°C
34%
18°C
38%
19°C
20%
20°C
19%
21℃以上
41%
21℃以上 41%
18°C 38%
17°C 34%
16℃ 32%
11℃以下
1%
12°C
1%
13℃
1%
14℃
2%
15℃
24%
16℃
32%
17°C
34%
18°C
38%
19°C
20%
20°C
19%
21℃以上
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate mostly cloudy conditions for Tokyo on June 13 with daytime highs near 27°C and overnight lows around 18°C, consistent with the seasonal transition toward higher humidity and temperatures during the tsuyu period. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting toward 19–21°C or warmer minima, reflecting typical early-to-mid June climatology where average lows range 18–21°C amid moderating Pacific influences. Recent cooling from a lingering frontal system earlier in the week has given way to gradual warming, reducing downside risk for sub-18°C readings while model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns or cold-air advection that could drive sharper drops. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs in coming hours will further refine overnight minimum expectations ahead of the June 13 observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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