Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for June 11 indicate a daily maximum of 29°C under sunny intervals with showers and light easterly winds, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 28–30°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected through summer reflect long-term warming trends and weak monsoon influences, while localized convection and cloud cover could cap afternoon peaks below the 31°C June average. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential due to moderate humidity and stable steering patterns, with any shift in shower timing or wind direction offering the main variables that could nudge the realized high across the closely matched 29°C and 30°C thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 11?
29°C 32%
30°C 28%
28°C 22%
27°C 9%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
22%
29°C
32%
30°C
28%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 32%
30°C 28%
28°C 22%
27°C 9%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
22%
29°C
32%
30°C
28%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Jun 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for June 11 indicate a daily maximum of 29°C under sunny intervals with showers and light easterly winds, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 28–30°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected through summer reflect long-term warming trends and weak monsoon influences, while localized convection and cloud cover could cap afternoon peaks below the 31°C June average. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential due to moderate humidity and stable steering patterns, with any shift in shower timing or wind direction offering the main variables that could nudge the realized high across the closely matched 29°C and 30°C thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問