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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 11?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 11?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 11?

29°C 32%

30°C 28%

28°C 22%

27°C 9%

Polymarket
新規

29°C 32%

30°C 28%

28°C 22%

27°C 9%

Polymarket
新規

23°C or below

$497 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$530 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$873 Vol.

1%

26°C

$569 Vol.

4%

27°C

$427 Vol.

9%

28°C

$200 Vol.

22%

29°C

$482 Vol.

32%

30°C

$745 Vol.

28%

31°C

$572 Vol.

6%

32°C

$535 Vol.

2%

33°C or higher

$297 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for June 11 indicate a daily maximum of 29°C under sunny intervals with showers and light easterly winds, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 28–30°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected through summer reflect long-term warming trends and weak monsoon influences, while localized convection and cloud cover could cap afternoon peaks below the 31°C June average. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential due to moderate humidity and stable steering patterns, with any shift in shower timing or wind direction offering the main variables that could nudge the realized high across the closely matched 29°C and 30°C thresholds.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$5,690
終了日
2026/06/11
マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for June 11 indicate a daily maximum of 29°C under sunny intervals with showers and light easterly winds, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 28–30°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected through summer reflect long-term warming trends and weak monsoon influences, while localized convection and cloud cover could cap afternoon peaks below the 31°C June average. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential due to moderate humidity and stable steering patterns, with any shift in shower timing or wind direction offering the main variables that could nudge the realized high across the closely matched 29°C and 30°C thresholds.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$5,690
終了日
2026/06/11
マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 11?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「29°C」で32%、次いで「30°C」が28%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、32¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に32%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 11?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jun 9, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 11?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 11?」の現在のフロントランナーは「29°C」で32%であり、市場がこの結果に32%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「30°C」で28%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 11?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。