Trader consensus strongly favors a 17°C minimum for Paris on June 12, 2026, reflecting model convergence on limited nocturnal cooling under persistent cloud cover, light winds, and a building ridge. These conditions have suppressed the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping overnight lows near the upper end of June climatology (normally 12–14°C). Official guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) indicates surface temperatures bottoming out around 17°C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station, with minimal radiational cooling under moist, stable air masses. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear-sky development enabling greater heat loss or station-specific measurement variations that could shift the recorded low to 16°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月12日のパリの最低気温は？
6月12日のパリの最低気温は？
17°C 100.0%
10°C以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$14,106 Vol.
$14,106 Vol.
2026/06/12
10°C以下
いいえ
11°C
いいえ
12°C
いいえ
13°C
いいえ
14℃
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16°C
いいえ
17°C
はい
18°C
いいえ
19℃
いいえ
20℃以上
いいえ
17°C 100.0%
10°C以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$14,106 Vol.
$14,106 Vol.
2026/06/12
10°C以下
$857 Vol.
いいえ
11°C
$1,015 Vol.
いいえ
12°C
$1,222 Vol.
いいえ
13°C
$916 Vol.
いいえ
14℃
$552 Vol.
いいえ
15℃
$980 Vol.
いいえ
16°C
$1,850 Vol.
いいえ
17°C
$2,663 Vol.
はい
18°C
$2,142 Vol.
いいえ
19℃
$1,507 Vol.
いいえ
20℃以上
$401 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 17°C minimum for Paris on June 12, 2026, reflecting model convergence on limited nocturnal cooling under persistent cloud cover, light winds, and a building ridge. These conditions have suppressed the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping overnight lows near the upper end of June climatology (normally 12–14°C). Official guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) indicates surface temperatures bottoming out around 17°C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station, with minimal radiational cooling under moist, stable air masses. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear-sky development enabling greater heat loss or station-specific measurement variations that could shift the recorded low to 16°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$14,106終了日
2026/06/12マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 17°C minimum for Paris on June 12, 2026, reflecting model convergence on limited nocturnal cooling under persistent cloud cover, light winds, and a building ridge. These conditions have suppressed the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping overnight lows near the upper end of June climatology (normally 12–14°C). Official guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) indicates surface temperatures bottoming out around 17°C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station, with minimal radiational cooling under moist, stable air masses. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear-sky development enabling greater heat loss or station-specific measurement variations that could shift the recorded low to 16°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$14,106終了日
2026/06/12マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus strongly favors a 17°C minimum for Paris on June 12, 2026, reflecting model convergence on limited nocturnal cooling under persistent cloud cover, light winds, and a building ridge. These conditions have suppressed the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping overnight lows near the upper end of June climatology (normally 12–14°C). Official guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) indicates surface temperatures bottoming out around 17°C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station, with minimal radiational cooling under moist, stable air masses. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear-sky development enabling greater heat loss or station-specific measurement variations that could shift the recorded low to 16°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問