Official observations from New York City weather stations on June 10, 2026, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 82–83 °F, driving the market’s 100 % implied probability for that bin. National Weather Service data confirmed this value under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover that limited afternoon mixing and allowed efficient surface heating without exceeding seasonal norms for early June. Model guidance issued the prior evening aligned closely with the eventual reading, leaving little room for revision once verified reports were released. Only an unexpected station calibration error or post-hoc quality-control adjustment could reopen other temperature ranges, an outcome that remains statistically remote given multiple independent sensors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月10日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は?
82〜83°F 100.0%
71°F以下 <1%
72~73°F <1%
華氏74〜75度 <1%
$136,179 Vol.
$136,179 Vol.
71°F以下
いいえ
72~73°F
いいえ
華氏74〜75度
いいえ
76~77°F
いいえ
78~79°F
いいえ
80~81°F
いいえ
82〜83°F
はい
84~85°F
いいえ
86~87°F
いいえ
88~89°F
いいえ
華氏90度以上
いいえ
82〜83°F 100.0%
71°F以下 <1%
72~73°F <1%
華氏74〜75度 <1%
$136,179 Vol.
$136,179 Vol.
71°F以下
いいえ
72~73°F
いいえ
華氏74〜75度
いいえ
76~77°F
いいえ
78~79°F
いいえ
80~81°F
いいえ
82〜83°F
はい
84~85°F
いいえ
86~87°F
いいえ
88~89°F
いいえ
華氏90度以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 8, 2026, 11:03 PM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official observations from New York City weather stations on June 10, 2026, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 82–83 °F, driving the market’s 100 % implied probability for that bin. National Weather Service data confirmed this value under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover that limited afternoon mixing and allowed efficient surface heating without exceeding seasonal norms for early June. Model guidance issued the prior evening aligned closely with the eventual reading, leaving little room for revision once verified reports were released. Only an unexpected station calibration error or post-hoc quality-control adjustment could reopen other temperature ranges, an outcome that remains statistically remote given multiple independent sensors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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